Mount St. Mary's vs. Merrimack prediction: Why Merrimack is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/2/2026]

Merrimack and Mount St. Mary's will meet in men's college basketball action at Lawler Arena on Friday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Merrimack as the most likely winner of the Mount St. Mary's vs. Merrimack game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Mount St. Mary's vs. Merrimack prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NCAA basketball game between Mount St. Mary's and Merrimack 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Merrimack a 64% chance of defeating Mount St. Mary's. Our predicted final score has Merrimack winning 71-67.

According to our model, Mount St. Mary's (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 138.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.

Mount St. Mary's vs. Merrimack odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mount St. Mary's vs. Merrimack picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: