Montana State vs. Cal Poly prediction: Why Montana State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/16/2025]

Cal Poly and Montana State are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center on Tuesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Montana State as the most likely winner of the Montana State vs. Cal Poly game.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Montana State vs. Cal Poly prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Montana State and Cal Poly 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Montana State a 63% chance of beating Cal Poly. Our predicted final score has Montana State winning 81-77.

According to our model, Montana State (-2.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 158.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Montana State vs. Cal Poly odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Montana State vs. Cal Poly picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: