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MLB Thursday Betting Picks and Parlay - Aug 4, 2022

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Written by Ryan Leaver
MLB Thursday Betting Picks and Parlay - Aug 4, 2022

It's a loaded Thursday MLB slate and we're working to find you the best plays so that you don't have to. 

It's Thursday August 4, 2022, and, as always, we've simulated all of the day's MLB games 10,000 times each to determine where the value lies for basketball bettors across the United States.

With MLB betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for Thursday's MLB games.

Today's MLB best bets and odds for Thursday August 4, 2022 are proudly brought to you by BetMGM.  

Not with BetMGM yet? Well, sign up today and you'll score a free $20 in free bets + a risk-free bet up to $1,000. This is an EXCLUSIVE OFFER from us at Dimers. 

 

Free MLB Picks for Thursday August 4, 2022

Braves vs. Mets, 7:10PM ET

In a game that DimersBOT is pitting as almost a 50-50, we're taking the underdog.

Any time you can get plus money on the Braves (unless maybe when they play at Yankee Stadium), you take it.

BET: Braves moneyline (+104)

⚾️ Braves vs. Mets Thursday simulator
πŸ“ˆ Betting preview: Braves vs. Mets Thursday


Astros vs. Guardians, 7:10PM ET

Despite Justin Verlander (1.82 ERA) pitching for the road team, we're taking the Over here, with the total looking a little low after 10,000 simulations of the game.

Both of these teams have the ability to go big, with the Guardians alone averaging over five runs per game over their last six.

BET: Total runs OVER 7.5 (-106)

⚾️ Astros vs. Guardians Thursday simulator
πŸ“ˆ Betting preview: Astros vs. Guardians Thursday


 

Blue Jays vs. Twins, 7:40PM ET

Another Over bet? Of course! 

The Blue Jays and Twins game tonight has a total of 7.5 with our model projecting the Over to hit at a 58.5% probability.

With these odds, that gives us a 4.3% edge on the books, AND we get to watch and root for runs. Let's go.

BET: Total runs OVER 7.5 (-120)

⚾️ Blue Jays vs. Twins Thursday simulator
πŸ“ˆ Betting preview: Blue Jays vs. Twins Thursday

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Thursday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions and suggested bets, or check out the MLB Betting News section.


MLB Parlay for Thursday August 4, 2022

πŸ”₯ Braves -1.5
πŸ”₯ HOU/CLE o7.5
πŸ”₯ TOR/MIN o7.5

πŸ’° Parlay Odds: +627

*All odds and lines correct at time of publishing


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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

Advertiser disclosure

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