MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Will Warren [5/19/2026]

Will Warren under 5.5 strikeouts (-149)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 66.2%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Our model has found value on NY Yankees' Will Warren under 5.5 strikeouts. A probability of 66.2% gives this play an edge of 6.4% at -149 odds.

Foster Griffin under 5.5 strikeouts (-161)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 66.2%
• Game: Mets vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET)

Foster Griffin’s strikeouts prop shows a 66.2% probability and an 4.5% edge at -161 odds, according to our model.

Chase Burns under 17.5 outs recorded (-139)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 65.0%
• Game: Reds vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Chase Burns under 17.5 outs recorded, with simulations showing a 65.0% probability and a 6.8% edge at -139.

Chase Burns under 6.5 strikeouts (-124)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 63.2%
• Game: Reds vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Chase Burns under 6.5 strikeouts, with a 63.2% probability and an edge of 7.9% at -124 odds.

Justin Crawford over 0.5 bases (-132)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 59.3%
• Game: Reds vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Justin Crawford over 0.5 bases for Philadelphia, showing an edge of 2.5% at -132 odds.

Hyeseong Kim over 0.5 bases (-120)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 58.2%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Hyeseong Kim’s bases prop shows an edge of 3.6% at -120 odds, supported by a 58.2% probability according to our model.

Hyeseong Kim to get a hit (-125)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 58.2%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Hyeseong Kim to get a hit for LA Dodgers, with a 58.2% probability and a 2.7% edge at -125 odds.

Mitch Keller under 4.5 strikeouts (-110)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Game: Pirates vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

The data shows value on Mitch Keller under 4.5 strikeouts, supported by a 57.3% probability at -110 odds and an edge of 4.9%.

Kyle Bradish under 16.5 outs recorded (-107)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Game: Orioles vs. Rays (6:40PM ET)

A 5.5% edge on the under 4.5 outs recorded line makes Kyle Bradish a value play in Orioles vs. Rays, supported by a 57.2% probability at -107 odds.

Matthew Liberatore under 4.5 strikeouts (+102)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Game: Pirates vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

Simulations show value on Matthew Liberatore under 4.5 strikeouts here, with a 55.9% probability and 6.4% edge at +102 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, May 19, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:27AM ET:

Conclusion

For May 19, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Will Warren, Foster Griffin and Chase Burns. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.