MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Grant Holmes [5/12/2026]

Grant Holmes over 3.5 strikeouts (-185)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 70.2%
• Game: Cubs vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Our model has found value on Atlanta's Grant Holmes over 3.5 strikeouts. A probability of 70.2% gives this play an edge of 5.3% at -185 odds.

Darell Hernaiz over 0.5 bases (-182)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 66.9%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Darell Hernaiz’s bases prop shows a 66.9% probability and an 2.3% edge at -182 odds, according to our model.

Darell Hernaiz to get a hit (-184)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 66.9%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Darell Hernaiz to get a hit, with simulations showing a 66.9% probability and a 2.1% edge at -184.

Lawrence Butler over 0.5 bases (-167)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 65.0%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Lawrence Butler over 0.5 bases, with a 65.0% probability and an edge of 2.5% at -167 odds.

Lawrence Butler to get a hit (-168)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 65.0%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Lawrence Butler to get a hit for Athletics, showing an edge of 2.3% at -168 odds.

Shea Langeliers over 1.5 bases (-125)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 61.0%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Shea Langeliers’s bases prop shows an edge of 5.4% at -125 odds, supported by a 61.0% probability according to our model.

Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts (-121)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 61.0%
• Game: Padres vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts for Milwaukee, with a 61.0% probability and a 6.2% edge at -121 odds.

Shane McClanahan over 4.5 strikeouts (-125)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 60.6%
• Game: Rays vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

The data shows value on Shane McClanahan over 4.5 strikeouts, supported by a 60.6% probability at -125 odds and an edge of 5.1%.

Colin Rea over 15.5 outs recorded (-121)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 60.6%
• Game: Cubs vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

A 5.9% edge on the over 4.5 outs recorded line makes Colin Rea a value play in Cubs vs. Braves, supported by a 60.6% probability at -121 odds.

Elly De La Cruz over 1.5 bases (-116)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Game: Nationals vs. Reds (6:40PM ET)

Simulations show value on Elly De La Cruz over 1.5 bases here, with a 58.8% probability and 5.0% edge at -116 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, May 12, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:19AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Cubs vs. Braves	Grant Holmes over 3.5 strikeouts	-185 @ Fanatics	5.3%	70.2%
Cardinals vs. Athletics	Darell Hernaiz over 0.5 bases	-182 @ Fanatics	2.3%	66.9%
Cardinals vs. Athletics	Darell Hernaiz to get a hit	-184 @ DraftKings	2.5%	65.0%
Cardinals vs. Athletics	Lawrence Butler over 0.5 bases	-167 @ Fanatics	2.5%	65.0%
Cardinals vs. Athletics	Lawrence Butler to get a hit	-168 @ DraftKings	2.3%	65.0%
Cardinals vs. Athletics	Shea Langeliers over 1.5 bases	-125 @ Fanatics	5.4%	61.0%
Padres vs. Brewers	Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts	-121 @ DraftKings	6.2%	61.0%
Rays vs. Blue Jays	Shane McClanahan over 4.5 strikeouts	-125 @ Fanatics	5.1%	60.6%
Cubs vs. Braves	Colin Rea over 15.5 outs recorded	-121 @ DraftKings	5.9%	60.6%
Nationals vs. Reds	Elly De La Cruz over 1.5 bases	-116 @ Fanatics	5.0%	58.8%

Conclusion

For May 12, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Grant Holmes, Darell Hernaiz and Lawrence Butler. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.