MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Jameson Taillon [5/5/2026]

Jameson Taillon under 5.5 strikeouts (-185)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 74.8%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on CHI Cubs' Jameson Taillon under 5.5 strikeouts. A probability of 74.8% gives this play an edge of 9.9% at -185 odds.

Pete Crow-Armstrong over 0.5 bases (-147)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 65.9%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Pete Crow-Armstrong’s bases prop shows a 65.9% probability and an 6.3% edge at -147 odds, according to our model.

Pete Crow-Armstrong to get a hit (-152)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 65.9%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Pete Crow-Armstrong to get a hit, with simulations showing a 65.9% probability and a 5.6% edge at -152.

Sal Frelick over 0.5 bases (-167)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 65.2%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

Our model finds value on Sal Frelick over 0.5 bases, with a 65.2% probability and an edge of 2.7% at -167 odds.

Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts (-140)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 65.1%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts for Milwaukee, showing an edge of 6.7% at -140 odds.

Freddy Peralta under 6.5 strikeouts (-154)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 64.9%
• Game: Mets vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Freddy Peralta’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 4.3% at -154 odds, supported by a 64.9% probability according to our model.

Michael Busch to get a hit (-160)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 64.2%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Michael Busch to get a hit for CHI Cubs, with a 64.2% probability and a 2.7% edge at -160 odds.

Dansby Swanson over 0.5 bases (-147)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 64.2%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Dansby Swanson over 0.5 bases, supported by a 64.2% probability at -147 odds and an edge of 4.6%.

Dansby Swanson to get a hit (-152)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 64.2%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

A 3.9% edge on the to get a hit line makes Dansby Swanson a value play in Reds vs. Cubs, supported by a 64.2% probability at -152 odds.

Matt Shaw over 0.5 bases (-132)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 63.7%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Simulations show value on Matt Shaw over 0.5 bases here, with a 63.7% probability and 6.9% edge at -132 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, May 5, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:33AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Reds vs. Cubs	Jameson Taillon under 5.5 strikeouts	-185 @ fanatics	9.9%	74.8%
Reds vs. Cubs	Pete Crow-Armstrong over 0.5 bases	-147 @ fanatics	6.3%	65.9%
Reds vs. Cubs	Pete Crow-Armstrong to get a hit	-152 @ fanatics	2.7%	65.2%
Brewers vs. Cardinals	Sal Frelick over 0.5 bases	-167 @ fanatics	2.7%	65.2%
Brewers vs. Cardinals	Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts	-140 @ FanDuel	6.7%	65.1%
Mets vs. Rockies	Freddy Peralta under 6.5 strikeouts	-154 @ DraftKings	4.3%	64.9%
Reds vs. Cubs	Michael Busch to get a hit	-160 @ FanDuel	2.7%	64.2%
Reds vs. Cubs	Dansby Swanson over 0.5 bases	-147 @ fanatics	4.6%	64.2%
Reds vs. Cubs	Dansby Swanson to get a hit	-152 @ fanatics	3.9%	64.2%
Reds vs. Cubs	Matt Shaw over 0.5 bases	-132 @ fanatics	6.9%	63.7%

Conclusion

For May 5, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Jameson Taillon, Pete Crow-Armstrong and Sal Frelick. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.