Reds vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Cubs MLB game on May 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLB sport icon
MLB
Reds
Andrew Abbott 1-2, 5.97 ERA
2
3
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Jameson Taillon 2-1, 4.41 ERA
Wrigley Field
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
Reds
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 6 1
Cubs
0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 3 8 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Michael Busch singles to center field. Dansby Swanson scores.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Friedl LF5000001.0000.000
2 D. Myers CF0000010.0001.000
3 E. De La Cruz SS5000001.0000.000
4 S. Stewart 1B4010002.2500.500
5 N. Lowe DH4121101.5001.750
6 S. Steer RF4010001.2500.500
7 J. Trevino C0000000.0000.000
8 M. McLain 2B4000000.0000.000
9 K. Hayes 3B4000001.0000.000
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Hoerner 2B3010020.3330.933
2 A. Bregman 3B4011010.2500.650
3 I. Happ LF4000013.0000.200
4 S. Suzuki RF4000010.0000.200
5 D. Swanson SS5110000.2000.400
6 M. Busch 1B4132111.7502.300
7 R. Rolison P0000000.0000.000
8 M. Amaya C3000011.0000.250
9 P. Crow-Armstrong CF4110001.2500.500

Reds vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Reds vs. Cubs
  • Date: Tuesday, May 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cubs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Reds 39¢, Cubs 61¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Reds: 40%
  • Cubs: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 40%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.