MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include Germán Márquez [7/12/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Sunday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for July 12, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Germán Márquez, Robert Gasser and JR Ritchie.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Royals vs. Orioles and Cubs vs. Reds, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Sunday, 7/12
Sourced from 85+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for July 12, ranked by probability.
Germán Márquez over 2.5 strikeouts (-160)
- Edge: 9.3%
- Probability: 70.9%
- Game: Blue Jays vs. Padres (4:10PM ET)
Our model has found value on San Diego's Germán Márquez over 2.5 strikeouts. A probability of 70.9% gives this play an edge of 9.3% at -160 odds.
Robert Gasser under 5.5 strikeouts (-162)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 70.7%
- Game: Brewers vs. Pirates (12:15PM ET)
Robert Gasser’s strikeouts prop shows a 70.7% probability and an 8.9% edge at -162 odds, according to our model.
JR Ritchie over 2.5 strikeouts (-170)
- Edge: 7.5%
- Probability: 70.5%
- Game: Braves vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET)
The data highlights value on JR Ritchie over 2.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 70.5% probability and a 7.5% edge at -170.
Joey Cantillo over 1.5 earned runs (-169)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 66.5%
- Game: Guardians vs. Marlins (1:40PM ET)
Our model finds value on Joey Cantillo over 1.5 earned runs, with a 66.5% probability and an edge of 3.7% at -169 odds.
Joey Cantillo over 4.5 strikeouts (-158)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 65.2%
- Game: Guardians vs. Marlins (1:40PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Joey Cantillo over 4.5 strikeouts for Cleveland, showing an edge of 4.0% at -158 odds.
Payton Tolle under 5.5 strikeouts (-120)
- Edge: 7.7%
- Probability: 62.2%
- Game: Red Sox vs. Mets (1:40PM ET)
Payton Tolle’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 7.7% at -120 odds, supported by a 62.2% probability according to our model.
Austin Wells over 0.5 bases (-115)
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 61.8%
- Game: Yankees vs. Nationals (1:35PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Austin Wells over 0.5 bases for NY Yankees, with a 61.8% probability and a 8.4% edge at -115 odds.
Austin Wells to get a hit (-111)
- Edge: 9.2%
- Probability: 61.8%
- Game: Yankees vs. Nationals (1:35PM ET)
The data shows value on Austin Wells to get a hit, supported by a 61.8% probability at -111 odds and an edge of 9.2%.
Matthew Boyd under 5.5 strikeouts (-125)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 61.5%
- Game: Cubs vs. Reds (1:40PM ET)
A 6.0% edge on the under 0.5 strikeouts line makes Matthew Boyd a value play in Cubs vs. Reds, supported by a 61.5% probability at -125 odds.
Bryan Torres over 0.5 bases (-140)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 61.2%
- Game: Braves vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET)
Simulations show value on Bryan Torres over 0.5 bases here, with a 61.2% probability and 2.9% edge at -140 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Sunday, July 12, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:29AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays vs. Padres | Germán Márquez over 2.5 strikeouts | -160 @ Fanatics | 9.3% | 70.9% |
| Brewers vs. Pirates | Robert Gasser under 5.5 strikeouts | -162 @ FanDuel | 8.9% | 70.7% |
| Braves vs. Cardinals | JR Ritchie over 2.5 strikeouts | -170 @ Fanatics | 3.7% | 66.5% |
| Guardians vs. Marlins | Joey Cantillo over 1.5 earned runs | -169 @ DraftKings | 3.7% | 66.5% |
| Guardians vs. Marlins | Joey Cantillo over 4.5 strikeouts | -158 @ DraftKings | 4.0% | 65.2% |
| Red Sox vs. Mets | Payton Tolle under 5.5 strikeouts | -120 @ DraftKings | 7.7% | 62.2% |
| Yankees vs. Nationals | Austin Wells over 0.5 bases | -115 @ Fanatics | 8.4% | 61.8% |
| Yankees vs. Nationals | Austin Wells to get a hit | -111 @ DraftKings | 9.2% | 61.8% |
| Cubs vs. Reds | Matthew Boyd under 5.5 strikeouts | -125 @ Fanatics | 6.0% | 61.5% |
| Braves vs. Cardinals | Bryan Torres over 0.5 bases | -140 @ Fanatics | 2.9% | 61.2% |
Conclusion
For July 12, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Germán Márquez, Robert Gasser and JR Ritchie. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
