Blue Jays vs. Padres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Blue Jays vs. Padres MLB game on July 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Blue Jays
Kevin Gausman 4-8, 4.32 ERA
4
5
Petco Park
Padres
Germán Márquez 4-2, 5.02 ERA
Petco Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Blue Jays
1 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 4 9 1
Padres
0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 X 5 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Blue Jays
    0%
  • Padres
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Vladimir Guerrero strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Blue Jays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 E. Clement 2B5112101.2001.000
2 M. Straw RF2000000.0000.000
3 V. Guerrero DH4000012.0000.200
4 K. Okamoto 3B3020010.6671.750
5 D. Varsho CF4110001.2500.500
6 B. Valenzuela 1B4010001.2500.500
7 A. Kirk C0000000.0001.000
8 J. Clase LF4021001.5001.000
9 A. Giménez SS4110000.2500.750
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis RF4000002.0000.000
2 J. Merrill CF4000002.0000.000
3 X. Bogaerts SS4110001.2500.500
4 J. Bowen DH0100000.0000.000
5 G. Sheets LF3100011.0000.250
6 T. France 1B2111010.5001.000
7 J. Cronenworth 2B4021002.5001.000
8 R. Durán C4000001.0000.000
9 S. Song 3B2001010.0000.333

Blue Jays vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Blue Jays vs. Padres
  • Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Petco Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Blue Jays favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Blue Jays -125, Padres +144

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Blue Jays: 54%
  • Padres: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Blue Jays a win probability of 54%, while the Padres have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Blue Jays are more likely to beat the Padres in the MLB game at Petco Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Blue Jays vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.