MLB player props today: Saturday's best props include Dustin May [5/9/2026]

Dustin May over 3.5 strikeouts (-182)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 74.4%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Padres (7:15PM ET)

Our model has found value on St. Louis' Dustin May over 3.5 strikeouts. A probability of 74.4% gives this play an edge of 9.9% at -182 odds.

Ernie Clement to get a hit (-205)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 70.7%
• Game: Angels vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET)

Ernie Clement’s to get a hit prop shows a 70.7% probability and an 3.5% edge at -205 odds, according to our model.

Andres Gimenez over 0.5 bases (-172)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 67.5%
• Game: Angels vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET)

The data highlights value on Andres Gimenez over 0.5 bases, with simulations showing a 67.5% probability and a 4.2% edge at -172.

Andres Gimenez to get a hit (-180)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 67.5%
• Game: Angels vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET)

Our model finds value on Andres Gimenez to get a hit, with a 67.5% probability and an edge of 3.2% at -180 odds.

Randy Vasquez under 4.5 strikeouts (-182)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 67.1%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Padres (7:15PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Randy Vasquez under 4.5 strikeouts for San Diego, showing an edge of 2.6% at -182 odds.

Anthony Kay over 14.5 outs recorded (-156)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 65.5%
• Game: Mariners vs. White Sox (7:10PM ET)

Anthony Kay’s outs recorded prop shows an edge of 4.6% at -156 odds, supported by a 65.5% probability according to our model.

Payton Tolle under 5.5 strikeouts (-150)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 63.4%
• Game: Rays vs. Red Sox (4:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Payton Tolle under 5.5 strikeouts for Boston, with a 63.4% probability and a 3.4% edge at -150 odds.

Jack Leiter under 5.5 strikeouts (-144)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 63.1%
• Game: Cubs vs. Rangers (7:05PM ET)

The data shows value on Jack Leiter under 5.5 strikeouts, supported by a 63.1% probability at -144 odds and an edge of 4.1%.

Jack Kochanowicz under 3.5 strikeouts (-134)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 62.9%
• Game: Angels vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET)

A 5.7% edge on the under 5.5 strikeouts line makes Jack Kochanowicz a value play in Angels vs. Blue Jays, supported by a 62.9% probability at -134 odds.

Anthony Kay over 4.5 hits allowed (-120)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 62.4%
• Game: Mariners vs. White Sox (7:10PM ET)

Simulations show value on Anthony Kay over 4.5 hits allowed here, with a 62.4% probability and 7.8% edge at -120 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Saturday, May 9, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 10:44AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Cardinals vs. Padres	Dustin May over 3.5 strikeouts	-182 @ Fanatics	9.9%	74.4%
Angels vs. Blue Jays	Ernie Clement to get a hit	-205 @ BetRivers	3.5%	70.7%
Angels vs. Blue Jays	Andres Gimenez over 0.5 bases	-172 @ Fanatics	3.2%	67.5%
Angels vs. Blue Jays	Andres Gimenez to get a hit	-180 @ DraftKings	3.2%	67.5%
Cardinals vs. Padres	Randy Vasquez under 4.5 strikeouts	-182 @ Fanatics	2.6%	67.1%
Mariners vs. White Sox	Anthony Kay over 14.5 outs recorded	-156 @ DraftKings	4.6%	65.5%
Rays vs. Red Sox	Payton Tolle under 5.5 strikeouts	-150 @ BetRivers	3.4%	63.4%
Cubs vs. Rangers	Jack Leiter under 5.5 strikeouts	-144 @ DraftKings	4.1%	63.1%
Angels vs. Blue Jays	Jack Kochanowicz under 3.5 strikeouts	-134 @ DraftKings	5.7%	62.9%
Mariners vs. White Sox	Anthony Kay over 4.5 hits allowed	-120 @ DraftKings	7.8%	62.4%

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Conclusion

For May 9, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Dustin May, Ernie Clement and Andres Gimenez. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.