MLB player props today: Monday's best props include Seiya Suzuki [5/4/2026]

Seiya Suzuki to get a hit (-220)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 71.3%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Our model has found value on CHI Cubs' Seiya Suzuki to get a hit. A probability of 71.3% gives this play an edge of 2.5% at -220 odds.

Michael Busch to get a hit (-212)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 70.5%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Michael Busch’s to get a hit prop shows a 70.5% probability and an 2.5% edge at -212 odds, according to our model.

Miguel Amaya to get a hit (-202)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 69.7%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Miguel Amaya to get a hit, with simulations showing a 69.7% probability and a 2.8% edge at -202.

Carson Kelly to get a hit (-200)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 68.8%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Carson Kelly to get a hit, with a 68.8% probability and an edge of 2.1% at -200 odds.

Jose Soriano under 6.5 strikeouts (-141)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 68.4%
• Game: White Sox vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jose Soriano under 6.5 strikeouts for LA Angels, showing an edge of 9.9% at -141 odds.

Janson Junk over 5.5 hits allowed (-132)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 65.2%
• Game: Phillies vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)

Janson Junk’s hits allowed prop shows an edge of 8.3% at -132 odds, supported by a 65.2% probability according to our model.

Chase Petty over 2.5 strikeouts (-166)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 65.1%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Chase Petty over 2.5 strikeouts for Cincinnati, with a 65.1% probability and a 2.7% edge at -166 odds.

Chad Patrick over 3.5 strikeouts (-141)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 64.9%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

The data shows value on Chad Patrick over 3.5 strikeouts, supported by a 64.9% probability at -141 odds and an edge of 6.4%.

Trevor McDonald over 3.5 strikeouts (-135)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Game: Padres vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

A 4.8% edge on the over 3.5 strikeouts line makes Trevor McDonald a value play in Padres vs. Giants, supported by a 62.2% probability at -135 odds.

Janson Junk over 3.5 strikeouts (-125)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 61.5%
• Game: Phillies vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)

Simulations show value on Janson Junk over 3.5 strikeouts here, with a 61.5% probability and 5.9% edge at -125 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Monday, May 4, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:43AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Reds vs. Cubs	Seiya Suzuki to get a hit	-220 @ FanDuel	2.5%	71.3%
Reds vs. Cubs	Michael Busch to get a hit	-212 @ DraftKings	2.5%	70.5%
Reds vs. Cubs	Miguel Amaya to get a hit	-202 @ DraftKings	2.1%	68.8%
Reds vs. Cubs	Carson Kelly to get a hit	-200 @ fanatics	2.1%	68.8%
White Sox vs. Angels	Jose Soriano under 6.5 strikeouts	-141 @ fanatics	9.9%	68.4%
Phillies vs. Marlins	Janson Junk over 5.5 hits allowed	-132 @ DraftKings	8.3%	65.2%
Reds vs. Cubs	Chase Petty over 2.5 strikeouts	-166 @ DraftKings	2.7%	65.1%
Brewers vs. Cardinals	Chad Patrick over 3.5 strikeouts	-141 @ DraftKings	6.4%	64.9%
Padres vs. Giants	Trevor McDonald over 3.5 strikeouts	-135 @ DraftKings	4.8%	62.2%
Phillies vs. Marlins	Janson Junk over 3.5 strikeouts	-125 @ fanatics	5.9%	61.5%

Conclusion

For May 4, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Seiya Suzuki, Michael Busch and Miguel Amaya. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.