MLB player props today: Monday's best props include Pete Crow-Armstrong [5/4/2026]

Dimers' MLB props are live for May 04, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Pete Crow-Armstrong, Jose Soriano and Carson Kelly.

Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Reds vs. Cubs and Red Sox vs. Tigers, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.

List of MLB prop picks for Monday, 5/4

Sourced from 30+ total props today, below are the top ten MLB player props for May 4, ranked by probability.

Pete Crow-Armstrong to get a hit (-230)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 71.9%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Our model has found value on CHI Cubs' Pete Crow-Armstrong to get a hit. A probability of 71.9% gives this play an edge of 2.2% at -230 odds.

Jose Soriano over 3.5 hits allowed (-152)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 69.6%
• Game: White Sox vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)

Jose Soriano’s hits allowed prop shows a 69.6% probability and an 9.2% edge at -152 odds, according to our model.

Carson Kelly to get a hit (-185)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 68.7%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Carson Kelly to get a hit, with simulations showing a 68.7% probability and a 3.8% edge at -185.

Cam Schlittler over 1.5 earned runs (-144)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Game: Orioles vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Our model finds value on Cam Schlittler over 1.5 earned runs, with a 62.2% probability and an edge of 3.1% at -144 odds.

Janson Junk over 3.5 strikeouts (-124)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 61.5%
• Game: Phillies vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Janson Junk over 3.5 strikeouts for Miami, showing an edge of 6.1% at -124 odds.

Kyle Leahy over 3.5 strikeouts (-138)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 60.6%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

Kyle Leahy’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 2.6% at -138 odds, supported by a 60.6% probability according to our model.

Chad Patrick over 4.5 hits allowed (-106)

• Edge: 8.6%
• Probability: 60.1%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Chad Patrick over 4.5 hits allowed for Milwaukee, with a 60.1% probability and a 8.6% edge at -106 odds.

Alex Bregman over 1.5 bases (+102)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 59.0%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Alex Bregman over 1.5 bases, supported by a 59.0% probability at +102 odds and an edge of 9.5%.

Shane Baz under 5.5 strikeouts (-113)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 58.9%
• Game: Orioles vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

A 5.9% edge on the under 1.5 strikeouts line makes Shane Baz a value play in Orioles vs. Yankees, supported by a 58.9% probability at -113 odds.

Logan Gilbert under 4.5 hits allowed (-101)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Game: Braves vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)

Simulations show value on Logan Gilbert under 4.5 hits allowed here, with a 58.4% probability and 8.2% edge at -101 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Monday, May 4, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:56PM ET:

Conclusion

For May 4, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Pete Crow-Armstrong, Jose Soriano and Carson Kelly. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.