Reds vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Cubs MLB game on May 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB sport icon
MLB
Reds
Chase Petty 0-0, 0.00 ERA
4
5
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Edward Cabrera 3-0, 3.06 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Reds
0 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 4 10 0
Cubs
0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 6 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Michael Conforto homers to center field.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Myers CF2000001.0000.000
2 J. Bleday LF5111102.2001.000
3 E. De La Cruz SS4030011.7501.550
4 S. Stewart 1B4010001.2500.500
5 B. Dunn DH0100000.0000.000
6 S. Steer RF4021000.5001.000
7 T. Stephenson C4010002.2500.500
8 M. McLain 2B0000000.0000.000
9 K. Hayes 3B3112111.3331.833
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Hoerner 2B4011000.2500.450
2 M. Conforto PH11111001.0005.000
3 A. Bregman 3B3110010.3331.167
4 I. Happ LF3100012.0000.250
5 S. Suzuki RF3123100.6672.417
6 M. Busch 1B3000010.0000.250
7 C. Kelly C3000011.0000.250
8 P. Crow-Armstrong CF4110001.2501.000
9 D. Swanson SS4000001.0000.000

Reds vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Reds vs. Cubs
  • Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cubs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 11.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Reds 34¢, Cubs 66¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Reds: 37%
  • Cubs: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 37%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.