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Guardians vs. Royals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Guardians vs. Royals MLB game on May 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Guardians
Tanner Bibee 0-4, 4.08 ERA
2
6
May 4, 7:40 PM ET Kauffman Stadium
Royals
Michael Wacha 2-2, 3.13 ERA
May 4, 7:40 PM ET Kauffman Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Guardians | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Royals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | X | 6 | 7 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Guardians
- Royals
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Travis Bazzana grounds out to shallow infield, Alex Lange to Vinnie Pasquantino.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Kwan | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | D. Schneemann | CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | J. Ramírez | 3B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 4 | R. Hoskins | 1B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | T. Bazzana | 2B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 6 | D. Fry | DH | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 2.334 |
| 7 | A. Martínez | RF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.667 |
| 8 | B. Naylor | C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | B. Rocchio | SS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Garcia | 3B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | B. Witt | SS | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 1.250 |
| 3 | V. Pasquantino | 1B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 4 | S. Perez | DH | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 5 | C. Jensen | C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 6 | L. Thomas | CF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 7 | J. Caglianone | RF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 1.833 |
| 8 | I. Collins | LF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 9 | N. Loftin | 2B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
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Guardians vs. Royals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Guardians vs. Royals
- Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
- Time: 7:40 PM ET
- Venue: Kauffman Stadium
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Royals favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 9.5
- Moneyline Odds: Guardians +105, Royals -102
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Guardians: 47%
- Royals: 53%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Guardians a win probability of 47%, while the Royals have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Royals are more likely to beat the Guardians in the MLB game at Kauffman Stadium on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Guardians vs. Royals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.