Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +1020 pick for Thursday [6/18/2026]

Our analysis shows Kurtz leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.5% chance to go yard, followed by Shea Langeliers (20.8%) and Jo Adell (20.2%).

Kyle Schwarber and Ben Rice are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Thursday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Thursday's home run picks [6/18/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Mike Yastrzemski (Braves) to hit a home run

• Probability: 12.5%
• Odds: +1020
• Edge: 3.6%
• Game: Giants vs. Braves (7:15 PM EDT)
• Pitching matchup: Landen Roupp

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Atlanta slugger Mike Yastrzemski rates as a value play at +1020 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 3.6% edge.

Set to face Landen Roupp in tonight's Giants-Braves matchup, the data supports Yastrzemski as one of Thursday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of seven home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For June 18, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Nick Kurtz, Shea Langeliers and Jo Adell projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Mike Yastrzemski who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.6% edge at +1020 odds.

For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.