MLB player props today: Monday's best props include Jacob deGrom [4/6/2026]

Jacob deGrom under 7.5 strikeouts (-158)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 72.5%
• Game: Mariners vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Our model has found value on Texas' Jacob deGrom under 7.5 strikeouts. A probability of 72.5% gives this play an edge of 4.3% at -158 odds.

Brandon Woodruff under 6.5 strikeouts (-144)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 70.0%
• Game: Brewers vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET)

Brandon Woodruff’s strikeouts prop shows a 70.0% probability and an 5.4% edge at -144 odds, according to our model.

Zack Littell under 4.5 strikeouts (-163)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 66.1%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET)

The data highlights value on Zack Littell under 4.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 66.1% probability and a 4.2% edge at -163.

Bubba Chandler over 1.5 earned runs (-157)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 64.3%
• Game: Padres vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Bubba Chandler over 1.5 earned runs, with a 64.3% probability and an edge of 3.2% at -157 odds.

Joe Ryan under 6.5 strikeouts (-131)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 61.9%
• Game: Tigers vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Joe Ryan under 6.5 strikeouts for Minnesota, showing an edge of 5.2% at -131 odds.

Yordan Alvarez over 1.5 bases (-126)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 61.9%
• Game: Astros vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Yordan Alvarez’s bases prop shows an edge of 6.2% at -126 odds, supported by a 61.9% probability according to our model.

Joe Ryan over 1.5 earned runs (-131)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 60.9%
• Game: Tigers vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Joe Ryan over 1.5 earned runs for Minnesota, with a 60.9% probability and a 4.1% edge at -131 odds.

Janson Junk over 2.5 earned runs (+106)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 60.1%
• Game: Reds vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Janson Junk over 2.5 earned runs, supported by a 60.1% probability at +106 odds and an edge of 3.6%.

Ryan Feltner over 3.5 strikeouts (-111)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 59.7%
• Game: Astros vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

A 7.1% edge on the over 2.5 strikeouts line makes Ryan Feltner a value play in Astros vs. Rockies, supported by a 59.7% probability at -111 odds.

Jacob deGrom over 1.5 earned runs (-133)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 59.6%
• Game: Mariners vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Simulations show value on Jacob deGrom over 1.5 earned runs here, with a 59.6% probability and 2.5% edge at -133 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Monday, April 6, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 10:42AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Mariners vs. Rangers	Jacob deGrom under 7.5 strikeouts	-158 @ DraftKings	4.3%	72.5%
Brewers vs. Red Sox	Brandon Woodruff under 6.5 strikeouts	-144 @ FanDuel	5.4%	70.0%
Cardinals vs. Nationals	Zack Littell under 4.5 strikeouts	-163 @ DraftKings	3.2%	64.3%
Padres vs. Pirates	Bubba Chandler over 1.5 earned runs	-157 @ DraftKings	3.2%	64.3%
Tigers vs. Twins	Joe Ryan under 6.5 strikeouts	-131 @ DraftKings	5.2%	61.9%
Astros vs. Rockies	Yordan Alvarez over 1.5 bases	-126 @ DraftKings	6.2%	61.9%
Tigers vs. Twins	Joe Ryan over 1.5 earned runs	-131 @ DraftKings	4.1%	60.9%
Reds vs. Marlins	Janson Junk over 2.5 earned runs	+106 @ DraftKings	3.6%	60.1%
Astros vs. Rockies	Ryan Feltner over 2.5 strikeouts	-111 @ DraftKings	7.1%	59.7%
Mariners vs. Rangers	Jacob deGrom over 1.5 earned runs	-133 @ DraftKings	2.5%	59.6%

Conclusion

For April 6, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Jacob deGrom, Brandon Woodruff and Zack Littell. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.