MLB player props today: Friday's best props include Mike Burrows [3/27/2026]

Mike Burrows under 5.5 strikeouts (+100)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 58.0%
• Game: Angels vs. Astros (8:15PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Houston's Mike Burrows under 5.5 strikeouts. A probability of 58.0% gives this play an edge of 8.0% at +100 odds.

Ryne Nelson over 3.5 strikeouts (-138)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 65.8%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Ryne Nelson’s strikeouts prop shows a 65.8% probability and an 7.8% edge at -138 odds, according to our model.

Luis Severino over 1.5 walks allowed (-114)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 61.0%
• Game: Athletics vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

The data highlights value on Luis Severino over 1.5 walks allowed, with simulations showing a 61.0% probability and a 7.8% edge at -114.

Gavin Williams over 15.5 outs recorded (+124)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 52.4%
• Game: Guardians vs. Mariners (9:45PM ET)

Our model finds value on Gavin Williams over 15.5 outs recorded, with a 52.4% probability and an edge of 7.8% at +124 odds.

Michael King over 3.5 hits allowed (-155)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 68.5%
• Game: Tigers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Michael King over 3.5 hits allowed for San Diego, showing an edge of 7.7% at -155 odds.

Leo Rivas over 0.5 to steal a base (+700)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 20.2%
• Game: Guardians vs. Mariners (9:45PM ET)

Leo Rivas’s to steal a base prop shows an edge of 7.7% at +700 odds, supported by a 20.2% probability according to our model.

Kyle Freeland over 5.5 hits allowed (-113)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 60.7%
• Game: Rockies vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Kyle Freeland over 5.5 hits allowed for Colorado, with a 60.7% probability and a 7.6% edge at -113 odds.

Luis Severino over 3.5 strikeouts (-109)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 59.7%
• Game: Athletics vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

The data shows value on Luis Severino over 3.5 strikeouts, supported by a 59.7% probability at -109 odds and an edge of 7.6%.

Kevin Gausman under 5.5 strikeouts (+100)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 58.1%
• Game: Athletics vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

A 7.4% edge on the under 3.5 strikeouts line makes Kevin Gausman a value play in Athletics vs. Blue Jays, supported by a 58.1% probability at +100 odds.

Robbie Ray under 5.5 strikeouts (+111)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 54.6%
• Game: Yankees vs. Giants (4:35PM ET)

Simulations show value on Robbie Ray under 5.5 strikeouts here, with a 54.6% probability and 7.3% edge at +111 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Friday, March 27, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 4:43PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Angels vs. Astros	Mike Burrows under 5.5 strikeouts	+100 @ DraftKings	8.0%	58.0%
D-Backs vs. Dodgers	Ryne Nelson over 3.5 strikeouts	-138 @ FanDuel	7.8%	65.8%
Athletics vs. Blue Jays	Luis Severino over 1.5 walks allowed	-114 @ DraftKings	7.8%	52.4%
Guardians vs. Mariners	Gavin Williams over 15.5 outs recorded	+124 @ DraftKings	7.8%	52.4%
Tigers vs. Padres	Michael King over 3.5 hits allowed	-155 @ BetMGM	7.7%	68.5%
Guardians vs. Mariners	Leo Rivas over 0.5 to steal a base	+700 @ BetMGM	7.7%	20.2%
Rockies vs. Marlins	Kyle Freeland over 5.5 hits allowed	-113 @ DraftKings	7.6%	60.7%
Athletics vs. Blue Jays	Luis Severino over 3.5 strikeouts	-109 @ DraftKings	7.6%	59.7%
Athletics vs. Blue Jays	Kevin Gausman under 3.5 strikeouts	+100 @ FanDuel	7.4%	58.1%
Yankees vs. Giants	Robbie Ray under 5.5 strikeouts	+111 @ DraftKings	7.3%	54.6%

Conclusion

For March 27, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Mike Burrows, Ryne Nelson and Luis Severino. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.