MLB Friday Picks

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Written by Ryan Leaver
MLB Friday Picks

An absolutely MASSIVE slate of baseball for us all today with fourteen matchups going down.

These busy slates are always the hardest to nail down your bets and parlays, so we've ran our model over today's games to give you the best picks from across the board!

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Check out our predictions and plays below
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Marlins @ Nationals

BEST: 💵 Nationals moneyline (-200*) has a 65% probability

The Nationals are looking good to win this one according to our model. Not much money on offer but at 65% you can be confident this one comes off.

Suggested Run line and Over/Under plays HERE

Blue Jays @ Rays

BEST: 💪 Blue Jays +1.5 (-150*) has a 61% probability

The Blue Jays have won five in a row and although the Rays are favorites, they are a serious chance of covering today.

Suggested Over/Under and Moneyline plays HERE

Brewers @ Pirates

BEST: 💪 Pirates +1.5 (-135*) has a 62% probability

The Pirates have struggled lately but our model has them in for a better showing today. A 62% chance of covering and if you’re ballsy, a 6.5% edge against the books if you take them at the ML.

Suggested Over/Under and Moneyline plays HERE

 

Tigers @ Indians

BEST: 💪 Tigers +1.5 (-120*) has a 61% probability

Our data suggests that the Tigers should be able to cover in this one as they look to bounce back from a humiliating 9-0 loss last time out.

Suggested Moneyline and Over/Under plays HERE

Phillies @ Braves

BEST: Total runs: Over 8 (-110*) has a 53% probability

This one looks tight at the ML, so our best play is for the total runs to be at least 9. Our model also likes the Braves to cover.

Suggested Run line and Moneyline plays HERE

Red Sox @ Orioles

BEST: 💵 Red Sox moneyline (-114*) has a 54% probability

The Sox took care of business yesterday, running over the top of Baltimore 7-1 and our model has them making it back-to-back Ws!

Suggested Run line and Over/Under plays HERE

 

Twins @ Royals

BEST: 💵 Royals moneyline (+125*) has a 4.6% edge

Our data is seeing something that the sportsbooks aren’t here, with a huge 4.6% edge available for the Royals to win this one. They also have a 59% probability of covering the run line. 

Suggested Moneyline and Over/Under plays HERE

Reds @ Cardinals

BEST: 💵 Cardinals moneyline (+125*) has a 4.5% edge

Our predictive model sees this one a 50-50 split at the moneyline, meaning that the plus money for the Cardinals has to be played here!

Suggested Over/Under and Run line plays HERE

White Sox @ Cubs

BEST: 👇 Total runs: Under 9.5 (-110*) has a 52% probability

A massive City Series kicks off today and our model has it being tough and tight. We’ve got the total run mark of 9.9 being slightly too high for this one.

Read our full betting preview for this game here.

Astros @ Padres

BEST: Total runs: Over 9 (+100*) has a 51% probability 

Our MLB model believes it’s more likely that this game sees double digit runs than not. Plus money on offer too so a great play for your parlays!

Suggested Over/Under and Run line plays HERE

Rangers @ Mariners

BEST: 💪 Mariners +1.5 (-152*) has a 62% probability 

The Mariners have covered in 2 of their last 3 and our numbers suggest they are a massive 62% chance of doing so again. 

Suggested Over/Under and Moneyline plays HERE

Rockies @ Dodgers

BEST: 💪 Rockies +1.5 (+108*) has a 55% probability 

Plus money and over a 50% probability, yes please! Our model has Colorado covering in this one and so should your parlays.

Suggested Over/Under and Moneyline plays HERE

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Angels @ Athletics

BEST: 💵 Angels moneyline (-114*) has a 53% probability

Our predictive model has the Angels coming out on top in this one. If you’re a brave bettor, you could also take them at the run line (0.6% edge) where the sportsbooks aren’t quite giving them enough love. 

Suggested Over/Under and Run line plays HERE

Diamondbacks @ Giants

BEST: 💪 Rockies +1.5 (-225*) has a 70% probability 

Low odd but our model has this one down as an absolute LOCK. Take the Diamondbacks at the ML (52% probability) if you’re looking for some more cash.

Suggested Over/Under and Moneyline plays HERE

🏀 Our picks for today’s NBA playoffs action.

*Odds and percentages correct at time of publishing.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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