May 24, 2026
Astros vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [5/24/2026]
Read Article MLB picks today: Sunday's MLB best bets include Astros vs. Cubs play [5/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Sunday, May 24, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for May 24, 2026 are here, with Astros vs. Cubs and Twins vs. Red Sox among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s MLB play.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest baseball odds to unearth genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [5/24, updated 6:46AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, May 24, 2026.
Astros vs. Cubs over 7.5 runs (+125)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 53.4%
- Matchup: Astros vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Sunday)
Our model has identified value on over 7.5 runs in Astros vs. Cubs at +125 odds. A 53.4% probability produces an edge of 8.9%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Twins vs. Red Sox over 7.5 runs (+102)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Matchup: Twins vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
Twins vs. Red Sox over 7.5 runs carries a 7.3% edge and a probability of 56.8% at +102 odds, according to our model.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks over 9.5 runs (+111)
- Edge: 6.8%
- Probability: 54.3%
- Matchup: Rockies vs. Diamondbacks (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks over 9.5 runs at +111 odds shows a 6.8% edge, supported by a 54.3% probability in simulations.
Dodgers vs. Brewers over 8.5 runs (+115)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 52.5%
- Matchup: Dodgers vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
A 6.0% edge and 52.5% probability make Dodgers vs. Brewers over 8.5 runs at a value play in the Dodgers vs. Brewers matchup, per our model.
Rays vs. Yankees over 7.5 runs (+115)
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 52.2%
- Matchup: Rays vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
Rays vs. Yankees over 7.5 runs at +115 odds presents a 5.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 52.2%.
Guardians vs. Phillies over 7.5 runs (+106)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 54.1%
- Matchup: Guardians vs. Phillies (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
Our model finds value on over 7.5 runs in Guardians vs. Phillies at +106 odds, supported by an edge of 5.6%.
Pirates vs. Blue Jays over 7.5 runs (-106)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 56.1%
- Matchup: Pirates vs. Blue Jays (12:15PM ET, Sunday)
Our model has uncovered value on Pirates vs. Blue Jays over 7.5 runs at -106 odds. A 56.1% probability produces a 4.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Nationals vs. Braves over 8.5 runs (+106)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 53.1%
- Matchup: Nationals vs. Braves (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
A 4.6% edge on a 53.1% probability makes over 8.5 runs at +106 odds a solid value play in today's Nationals vs. Braves matchup.
Astros +1.5 (-125)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 59.5%
- Matchup: Astros vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Sunday)
Our model projects value on Astros +1.5 at -125 odds. A 59.5% probability produces a 4.0% edge, making Astros the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.
Mariners vs. Royals over 8.5 runs (+102)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 53.2%
- Matchup: Mariners vs. Royals (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Mariners vs. Royals over 8.5 runs at +102 odds shows a 53.2% probability and a 3.7% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Sunday, 5/24/2026
As of 6:46AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros vs. Cubs | Over 7.5 Runs | +125 @ Polymarket | 8.9% | 53.4% |
| Twins vs. Red Sox | Over 7.5 Runs | +102 @ Polymarket | 7.3% | 56.8% |
| Rockies vs. Diamondbacks | Over 9.5 Runs | +111 @ Polymarket | 6.8% | 54.3% |
| Dodgers vs. Brewers | Over 8.5 Runs | +115 @ Polymarket | 6.0% | 52.5% |
| Rays vs. Yankees | Over 7.5 Runs | +115 @ Polymarket | 5.7% | 52.2% |
| Guardians vs. Phillies | Over 7.5 Runs | +106 @ Polymarket | 5.6% | 54.1% |
| Pirates vs. Blue Jays | Over 7.5 Runs | -106 @ Polymarket | 4.6% | 56.1% |
| Nationals vs. Braves | Over 8.5 Runs | +106 @ Polymarket | 4.6% | 53.1% |
| Astros vs. Cubs | Astros +1.5 | -125 @ Polymarket | 4.0% | 59.5% |
| Mariners vs. Royals | Over 8.5 Runs | +102 @ Polymarket | 3.7% | 53.2% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [5/24/2026]
- Pirates vs. Blue Jays (12:15PM ET, Sunday)
- Guardians vs. Phillies (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
- Twins vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
- Rays vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
- Cardinals vs. Reds (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Mets vs. Marlins (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Mariners vs. Royals (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Dodgers vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Astros vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Sunday)
- White Sox vs. Giants (4:05PM ET, Sunday)
- Athletics vs. Padres (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Nationals vs. Braves (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Rockies vs. D-Backs (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Rangers vs. Angels (7:20PM ET, Sunday)
See How Dimers Pro Enhances Your Best Bets
Ready to take your betting to the next level? See how Dimers Pro boosts our best bets by watching this explainer video.
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for May 24, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Astros vs. Cubs matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Twins vs. Red Sox matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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