Twins vs. Rays prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [4/24/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays predictions for MLB Friday.

Minnesota Twins-Tampa Bay Rays Predictions and Game Preview.
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB prediction for Friday, April 24, 2026.

The Tampa Bay Rays and Minnesota Twins will lock horns in MLB action at Tropicana Field on Friday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.

The Rays will send Drew Rasmussen (1-0, 2.75 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Taj Bradley (3-0, 1.63 ERA) for the Twins.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Rays as the most likely winner of the Twins vs. Rays game.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Twins vs. Rays prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB matchup between the Twins and Rays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Rays a 56% chance of defeating the Twins.

According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 52% chance of going over.

 

Twins vs. Rays odds [4/24/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Twins Rays
Run Line +1.5 (-194) -1.5 (+160)
Moneyline +119 -135
Total o7.5 (+100) u7.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Twins vs. Rays picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Rays -1.5 +160
Moneyline Twins +119
Total Over 7.5 +100

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Twins vs. Rays game-day updates and essential details

Friday's MLB game between the Rays and Twins at Tropicana Field is scheduled to start at 7:10 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Rays, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Twins in Friday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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