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Twins vs. Rays prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [4/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays predictions for MLB Friday.
The Tampa Bay Rays will take on the Minnesota Twins, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Tropicana Field on Friday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.
Drew Rasmussen (1-0, 2.75 ERA) will start on the mound for the Rays, pitting him against Taj Bradley (3-0, 1.63 ERA) for the Twins.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Rays a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Twins.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's Twins vs. Rays matchup, including best bets and picks.
Twins vs. Rays prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB matchup between the Twins and Rays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Rays a 54% chance of beating the Twins.
According to our model, the 7.5-run over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Twins vs. Rays odds [4/24/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Twins | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +105 | -122 |
| Total | o7.5 (-102) | u7.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Twins vs. Rays picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rays | -122 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -102 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Twins vs. Rays game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB action between the Rays and Twins at Tropicana Field is scheduled to begin at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Tropicana Field
Conclusion
We predict the Rays, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Twins in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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