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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver to win, Anthony Edwards projected for big game in Thursday's NBA matchup [12/25/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Denver Nuggets will face the Minnesota Timberwolves in NBA action at Ball Arena on Christmas Day, commencing at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature stars like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Tim Hardaway, while the Timberwolves will look to Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wolves vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA matchup between the Timberwolves and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Nuggets a 58% chance of beating the Timberwolves. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 120-118.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Timberwolves and Nuggets each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 239.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Timberwolves | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-114) | -2.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -120 |
| Total | o239.5 (-108) | u239.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nuggets -2.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | -120 |
| Total | Under 239.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets to win.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets player props
Betting on Minnesota vs. Denver NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Anthony Edwards is expected to lead the Timberwolves with 28 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 27 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists for the Nuggets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Timberwolves prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Timberwolves are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 28 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 49 |
| Julius Randle | 22 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 43 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 15 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| D. DiVincenzo | 13 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 30 |
| Naz Reid | 13 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
Nuggets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 27 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 63 |
| Jamal Murray | 25 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 46 |
| Tim Hardaway | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| Peyton Watson | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 27 |
| Bruce Brown | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
Wolves vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Nuggets and Timberwolves at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves on Christmas Day, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 63 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Timberwolves vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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