Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver to win, Anthony Edwards projected for big game in Thursday's NBA matchup [12/25/2025]

NBA action continues on Christmas Day at 10:30 PM ET as the Minnesota Timberwolves square off with the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature stars like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Peyton Watson, while the Timberwolves will look to Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Wolves vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA matchup between the Timberwolves and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Nuggets a 56% chance of beating the Timberwolves. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 119-117.

According to our model, the Nuggets (-2.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 237.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Timberwolves	Nuggets
Spread	+2.5 (-130)	-2.5 (-102)
Moneyline	+100	-112
Total	o237.5 (-125)	u237.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Nuggets -2.5	-102
Moneyline	Nuggets	-112
Total	Under 237.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets to win.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets player props

NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Minnesota vs. Denver game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Anthony Edwards is expected to lead the Timberwolves with 28 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 27 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists for the Nuggets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Timberwolves prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Timberwolves are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Anthony Edwards	28	6	4	4	49
Julius Randle	21	6	6	2	43
Jaden McDaniels	15	5	3	1	30
D. DiVincenzo	13	4	4	3	30
Naz Reid	13	6	2	2	29

Nuggets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nikola Jokic	27	11	10	2	63
Jamal Murray	25	5	6	3	46
Peyton Watson	13	6	2	1	28
Tim Hardaway	13	2	2	3	21
Bruce Brown	10	5	2	1	23

Wolves vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's matchup between the Nuggets and Timberwolves at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:30 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets
• Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
• Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves on Christmas Day, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 63 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Timberwolves vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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