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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets NBA game on December 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
128
131
Dec 26, 3:30AM Ball Arena
Dec 26, 3:30AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 29 | 26 | 23 | 37 | 13 | 128 |
Nuggets | 32 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 16 | 131 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
3%
97%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 29 | 26 | 23 | 37 | 13 | 128 |
Nuggets | 32 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 16 | 131 |
OT1 00:02 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
OT1 00:11 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
OT1 00:15 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
OT1 00:25 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
OT1 00:35 Jamal Murray makes three point pullup jump shot
OT1 00:48 Anthony Edwards makes two point driving finger roll layup
OT1 1:13 Julius Randle misses three point pullup jump shot
OT1 1:26 Nikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
OT1 1:47 Rudy Gobert misses two point tip dunk
OT1 1:49 Anthony Edwards misses three point pullup jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
OT
ALL
End of 1st OT.
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
138-142
Nuggets personal foul
Bones Hyland misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Timberwolves offensive rebound
+1
Bones Hyland makes regular free throw 2 of 3
136-140
Nuggets defensive rebound
Bones Hyland misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
136-141
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Johnny Juzang, Julius Randle)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
136-142
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown)
Jaden McDaniels turnover (lane violation)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Bones Hyland misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
135-139
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
135-140
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
135-138
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
133-137
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
133-138
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
133-136
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 2
130-134
Jamal Murray misses technical free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-135
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-136
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
Anthony Edwards technical foul
Jamal Murray misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Nuggets offensive rebound
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
138-142
Anthony Edwards ejected from the game (Other)
Anthony Edwards technical foul
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
130-132
Timberwolves violation
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes technical free throw 1 of 1
130-133
Anthony Edwards technical foul
Timberwolves technical foul (Delay of game)
Jaden McDaniels personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
128-132
Anthony Edwards turnover (bad pass)
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point pullup jump shot
128-131
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point driving finger roll layup
128-128
Nikola Jokic turnover
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Nikola Jokic personal foul (Loose ball)
Nuggets challenge timeout
Rudy Gobert personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Rudy Gobert turnover
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
126-127
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
126-128
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
126-126
Julius Randle personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Rudy Gobert misses two point tip dunk
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Nikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
126-124
Jamal Murray shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
125-121
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
126-121
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
124-121
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Jamal Murray blocks Rudy Gobert's two point putback layup
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Nikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
124-118
+3
Anthony Edwards makes three point pullup jump shot
124-115
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Peyton Watson offensive rebound
Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jamal Murray shooting foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)
+1
Donte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-115
+1
Donte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-115
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
Peyton Watson shooting foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-115
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-115
Timberwolves delay of game violation
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point pullup bank jump shot
117-115
Nuggets misses heave shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert)
Rudy Gobert vs. Nikola Jokic (Anthony Edwards gains possession)
Start of 1st OT
+3
Anthony Edwards makes three point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jaden McDaniels assists)
115-115
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Jaden McDaniels personal foul (Take) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-114
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-115
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown)
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point running dunk (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
112-113
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown)
Jamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)
Donte DiVincenzo offensive rebound
Jamal Murray shooting foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 3
108-113
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 3
109-113
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 3 of 3
110-113
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Spencer Jones makes two point tip layup
107-113
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Rudy Gobert blocks Peyton Watson's two point cutting layup
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Jaden McDaniels misses two point driving finger roll layup
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot
Julius Randle turnover (traveling)
Stoppage (Other)
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
107-111
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point driving layup (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
107-108
Jamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
+3
Anthony Edwards makes three point pullup jump shot (Julius Randle assists)
105-108
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point stepback jump shot
102-108
+2
Julius Randle makes two point driving floating jump shot
101-106
Spencer Jones shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
102-106
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point running reverse layup (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
99-106
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Julius Randle makes two point running layup (Jaden McDaniels assists)
97-106
Nikola Jokic turnover (lost ball)
Julius Randle blocks Nikola Jokic's two point turnaround jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Bruce Brown shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-106
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-106
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Anthony Edwards misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert)
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point pullup jump shot
93-106
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point driving hook shot
91-106
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point driving floating jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
91-104
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
89-104
+2
Rudy Gobert makes two point dunk (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
89-101
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown)
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert)
Donte DiVincenzo offensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels misses three point running jump shot
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Jaden McDaniels turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Jonas Valanciunas makes two point cutting layup (Jamal Murray assists)
87-101
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
87-99
Bruce Brown shooting foul (Jaden McDaniels draws the foul)
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-96
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-96
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown)
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo blocks Julian Strawther's three point jump shot
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point driving reverse layup
85-96
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
+2
Spencer Jones makes two point putback layup
83-96
Bruce Brown misses two point running layup
Bones Hyland turnover (lost ball) (Bruce Brown steals)
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Rudy Gobert blocks Jonas Valanciunas's two point driving layup
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Spencer Jones turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point driving floating jump shot
83-94
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point tip layup
81-94
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point running layup
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Bones Hyland misses two point driving floating jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Naz Reid makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)
80-92
Tim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Naz Reid draws the foul)
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 1
81-92
Jamal Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert)
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown)
Start of 4th Quarter
Peyton Watson shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)
Julius Randle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown)
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-92
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point driving dunk
77-92
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses three point jump shot
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup
77-90
+2
Julius Randle makes two point running layup
77-88
Nikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Julius Randle steals)
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Nikola Jokic makes three point jump shot
75-88
Anthony Edwards turnover (traveling)
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
Julius Randle makes two point driving dunk (Bones Hyland assists)
75-85
Jamal Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Anthony Edwards personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-84
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-85
+3
Bones Hyland makes three point jump shot (Naz Reid assists)
73-83
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Terrence Shannon Jr. misses three point jump shot
Naz Reid shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)
Bruce Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-83
Nuggets offensive rebound
Julius Randle personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Jamal Murray misses two point stepback jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Naz Reid misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
70-82
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+3
Bones Hyland makes three point running pullup jump shot
70-79
Bruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Bones Hyland steals)
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point running dunk (Bones Hyland assists)
67-79
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses two point layup
Julius Randle offensive rebound
+2
Julius Randle makes two point putback layup
65-79
Terrence Shannon Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Terrence Shannon Jr., Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown)
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
63-79
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses two point driving layup
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
63-76
+2
Julius Randle makes two point putback layup
63-73
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Nikola Jokic turnover (discontinue dribble)
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses two point running finger roll layup
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot
Naz Reid turnover (discontinue dribble)
Peyton Watson personal foul (Naz Reid draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic kicked ball violation
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point running layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
61-73
Jaden McDaniels turnover (lost ball) (Peyton Watson steals)
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point driving layup
61-71
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
Rudy Gobert personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Tim Hardaway Jr. blocks Anthony Edwards's two point running layup
Nuggets defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Julius Randle steals)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo offensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses two point tip layup
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Donte DiVincenzo misses two point driving floating jump shot
Peyton Watson personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
+2
Rudy Gobert makes two point layup (Julius Randle assists)
61-69
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
59-69
Anthony Edwards turnover (bad pass) (Peyton Watson steals)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point driving finger roll layup
Nikola Jokic shooting foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-66
Nuggets technical foul (Defensive three second)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes technical free throw 1 of 1
58-66
+3
Spencer Jones makes three point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
57-66
Spencer Jones shooting foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-63
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-63
+2
Spencer Jones makes two point cutting layup (Jamal Murray assists)
55-63
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses two point pullup jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-60
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-61
Jamal Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses three point jump shot
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point driving finger roll layup
55-59
Jamal Murray misses three point running pullup jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert)
Start of 3rd Quarter
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Julius Randle)
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
55-57
+3
Julius Randle makes three point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)
55-55
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses three point jump shot
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Spencer Jones makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
52-55
+2
Julius Randle makes two point driving layup (Anthony Edwards assists)
52-52
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
50-52
+2
Jaylen Clark makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Mike Conley assists)
50-50
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point putback layup
48-49
Julius Randle shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
48-50
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Jaylen Clark misses two point driving layup
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)
48-47
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Terrence Shannon Jr. misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point driving finger roll layup
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses two point pullup bank jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
48-46
Nuggets violation
Spencer Jones turnover (offensive goaltending)
Timberwolves technical foul (Defensive three second)
+1
Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
48-44
Naz Reid personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Julius Randle)
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses three point pullup jump shot
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Timberwolves turnover (shot clock violation)
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point layup (Jamal Murray assists)
48-43
+2
Julius Randle makes two point cutting layup (Jaden McDaniels assists)
48-41
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point pullup jump shot
46-41
+2
Julius Randle makes two point running reverse layup (Bones Hyland assists)
46-38
Nikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Julius Randle steals)
Bones Hyland misses two point driving floating jump shot
Nuggets defensive rebound
Rudy Gobert personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Jonas Valanciunas personal foul (Loose ball) (Naz Reid draws the foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown)
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels misses three point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas offensive foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)
Jonas Valanciunas turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Bones Hyland makes two point running layup (Naz Reid assists)
44-38
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels blocks Zeke Nnaji's two point cutting dunk
+2
Naz Reid makes two point driving floating jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
42-38
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Jonas Valanciunas misses two point hook shot
+2
Rudy Gobert makes two point layup
40-38
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Naz Reid makes two point running dunk (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
38-38
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Bones Hyland blocks Jamal Murray's two point pullup jump shot
Jaden McDaniels turnover (out of bounds step)
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Rudy Gobert blocks Jonas Valanciunas's two point driving hook shot
Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
Jonas Valanciunas misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown)
+3
Naz Reid makes three point jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
36-38
Bruce Brown turnover (back court violation)
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point running pullup jump shot
33-38
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point driving dunk (Naz Reid assists)
31-38
+2
Zeke Nnaji makes two point running layup (Bruce Brown assists)
29-38
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Naz Reid misses two point driving bank hook shot
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Jonas Valanciunas assists)
29-36
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Zeke Nnaji blocks Donte DiVincenzo's three point jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo shooting foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-33
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-34
Bones Hyland misses three point jump shot
Nuggets defensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown)
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert)
Start of 2nd Quarter
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)
29-32
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point driving reverse layup
29-30
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point tip layup
27-30
Nikola Jokic misses two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Julius Randle makes two point running layup (Bones Hyland assists)
27-28
Bruce Brown turnover (lost ball) (Mike Conley steals)
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Naz Reid misses two point running layup
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Mike Conley blocks Julian Strawther's two point driving floating jump shot
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Mike Conley misses three point jump shot
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
25-28
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Timberwolves turnover (shot clock violation)
Anthony Edwards misses three point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point running layup (Bruce Brown assists)
25-26
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Bones Hyland misses three point jump shot
Naz Reid offensive rebound
Julius Randle misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot (Julian Strawther assists)
25-24
+3
Julius Randle makes three point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)
25-22
+3
Peyton Watson makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
22-22
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown)
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Julius Randle)
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point stepback jump shot (Mike Conley assists)
22-19
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
20-18
Julius Randle shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
20-19
Nuggets defensive rebound
Rudy Gobert personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Julius Randle)
Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
Naz Reid shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-15
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson, Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-16
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic blocks Naz Reid's two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup
20-14
+3
Naz Reid makes three point jump shot (Jaden McDaniels assists)
20-12
Jamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Edwards steals)
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
18-12
Nikola Jokic shooting foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
Nuggets delay of game violation
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert)
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-12
Julius Randle misses two point pullup jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point turnaround hook shot
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point pullup jump shot
16-12
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
14-12
Jaden McDaniels personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point running reverse layup
14-9
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Rudy Gobert blocks Spencer Jones's two point reverse layup
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Spencer Jones shooting foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 3
11-9
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 3
12-9
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
+2
Rudy Gobert makes two point tip layup
10-9
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
8-8
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-9
Anthony Edwards turnover (bad pass) (Peyton Watson steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jamal Murray turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+3
Anthony Edwards makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)
8-7
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses three point jump shot
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point fadeaway jump shot
5-7
+3
Anthony Edwards makes three point pullup jump shot (Julius Randle assists)
5-5
Peyton Watson turnover (traveling)
Julius Randle turnover (bad pass) (Spencer Jones steals)
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point driving hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)
2-5
Jaden McDaniels blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving reverse layup
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Rudy Gobert blocks Spencer Jones's two point cutting layup
+2
Donte DiVincenzo makes two point running reverse layup (Julius Randle assists)
2-3
Peyton Watson turnover (lost ball) (Anthony Edwards steals)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses three point stepback jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point running jump shot
Anthony Edwards turnover (bad pass) (Spencer Jones steals)
Jamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Edwards steals)
Anthony Edwards turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Nikola Jokic blocks Rudy Gobert's two point cutting layup
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Nikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Spencer Jones assists)
0-3
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Julius Randle misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert)
Start of 1st Quarter
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Rudy Gobert vs. Nikola Jokic (Donte DiVincenzo gains possession)
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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
- Time: 10:30 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Timberwolves favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 239.5
- Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves -109, Nuggets -102
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Timberwolves: 54%
- Nuggets: 46%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Timberwolves 119-118 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 54%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Timberwolves are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Timberwolves vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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