Rockets vs. Lakers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Lakers NBA game on December 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Rockets
119
96
Crypto.com Arena
Lakers
Crypto.com Arena
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 37 | 26 | 29 | 27 | 119 |
Lakers | 25 | 28 | 21 | 22 | 96 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Rockets
- Lakers
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 37 | 26 | 29 | 27 | 119 |
Lakers | 25 | 28 | 21 | 22 | 96 |
Q4 00:11 Clint Capela makes two point tip layup
Q4 00:13 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:14 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:33 Lakers makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:55 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:12 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:41 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:04 Lakers misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- End of 4th Quarter.
- Clint Capela offensive rebound
- +2Clint Capela makes two point tip layup119-96
- Clint Capela offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +3Lakers makes three point jump shot117-96
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot117-93
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot115-93
- Adou Thiero defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Lakers personal foul
- Maxi Kleber turnover (offensive foul)
- Instant replay
- Rockets personal foul
- Clint Capela offensive rebound
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot115-91
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Jeff Green defensive rebound
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- Rockets turnover
- Adou Thiero offensive rebound
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot113-91
- Maxi Kleber misses two point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot113-89
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Rockets 60 second timeout
- Rockets lineup change (JD Davison, Clint Capela, Jae'Sean Tate, Aaron Holiday, Jeff Green)
- Kevin Durant defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot111-89
- Lakers 60 second timeout
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday)
- Lakers lineup change (Bronny James, Adou Thiero, Maxi Kleber, Dalton Knecht, Jake LaRavia)
- Lakers turnover
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot109-89
- Lakers personal foul
- Lakers personal foul
- +1Kevin Durant makes technical free throw 1 of 1107-89
- Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- Lakers personal foul
- +1Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2105-89
- Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, LeBron James)
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson)
- +1Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2106-89
- Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot104-89
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot104-87
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot102-87
- Rockets turnover
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot102-85
- Rockets personal foul
- Kevin Durant turnover (offensive foul)
- Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia, Jarred Vanderbilt)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia, Jarred Vanderbilt)
- +3Lakers makes three point jump shot102-83
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot102-80
- Lakers turnover
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot100-80
- Steven Adams offensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot97-80
- Rockets 60 second timeout
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson)
- Jarred Vanderbilt offensive rebound
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot97-78
- Lakers turnover
- Lakers defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason)
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- Rockets turnover
- Steven Adams offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot95-78
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot94-76
- Lakers personal foul
- +1Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 195-76
- Steven Adams defensive rebound
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- Rockets turnover
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Lakers personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- +2LeBron James makes two point jump shot (Jake LaRavia assists)92-76
- Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- Amen Thompson defensive rebound
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia, Jarred Vanderbilt)
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams, Tari Eason)
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot92-74
- +3Lakers makes three point jump shot90-74
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot90-71
- Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot88-71
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- Rockets personal foul
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot88-69
- Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- Lakers defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- +3Lakers makes three point jump shot86-69
- Luka Doncic defensive rebound
- Lakers personal foul
- +1Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 286-66
- Reed Sheppard misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams, Amen Thompson)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams)
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot85-66
- Marcus Smart defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Kevin Durant defensive rebound
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- Lakers offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Steven Adams)
- Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia, Jarred Vanderbilt)
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot85-64
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot83-64
- Kevin Durant turnover
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot83-62
- Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
- Rockets turnover
- Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Steven Adams, Dorian Finney-Smith)
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot83-60
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot81-60
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot81-58
- Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Lakers turnover
- Lakers personal foul
- Lakers 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Rockets turnover
- Alperen Sengun turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
- Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- Lakers personal foul
- +1Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 278-58
- Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia, Jarred Vanderbilt)
- +1Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 279-58
- Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot77-58
- Lakers violation
- Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
- Rockets personal foul
- Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Lakers offensive rebound
- Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Marcus Smart defensive rebound
- Rockets personal foul
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot75-58
- Amen Thompson offensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot73-58
- Lakers 60 second timeout
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot73-56
- Amen Thompson defensive rebound
- Rui Hachimura misses two point jump shot
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot70-56
- +3Lakers makes three point jump shot67-56
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot67-53
- Kevin Durant offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Luka Doncic blocks Kevin Durant's two point driving layup
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Lakers turnover
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot65-53
- Lakers personal foul
- Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- Lakers offensive rebound
- End of 1st Half.
- Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, LeBron James)
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson)
- Austin Reaves defensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot63-53
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot63-51
- Lakers turnover
- Rockets personal foul
- Tari Eason turnover (offensive foul)
- Rockets 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Lakers violation
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson)
- Lakers turnover
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot61-51
- Tari Eason defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- Lakers personal foul
- +1Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 258-51
- +1Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 259-51
- Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James)
- Rockets personal foul
- +1LeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 257-50
- +1LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 257-51
- Lakers personal foul
- +1Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 256-49
- +1Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 257-49
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot55-48
- Rockets personal foul
- +1Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 155-49
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot54-46
- Lakers personal foul
- Lakers 60 second timeout
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson)
- Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
- +1Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 155-46
- Tari Eason defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot52-46
- Jarred Vanderbilt offensive rebound
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot50-46
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot50-44
- Amen Thompson defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- +3Lakers makes three point jump shot48-44
- Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- +3Lakers makes three point jump shot48-41
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot48-38
- Lakers turnover
- Rockets turnover
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot45-38
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot45-36
- Rockets personal foul
- Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Lakers offensive rebound
- +1Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 243-36
- Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
- Lakers personal foul
- Tari Eason misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Jarred Vanderbilt)
- Tari Eason misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Steven Adams defensive rebound
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Tari Eason offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Lakers personal foul
- Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
- Stoppage (Court cleanup)
- Rockets 60 second timeout
- Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith)
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot43-35
- Rockets turnover
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot43-33
- Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot43-31
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Steven Adams defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- Rockets turnover
- Lakers turnover
- Rockets turnover
- Lakers personal foul
- Lakers personal foul
- +3Lakers makes three point jump shot41-31
- Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- Steven Adams offensive rebound
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot41-28
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Steven Adams defensive rebound
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- LeBron James defensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- +3Lakers makes three point jump shot39-28
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot39-25
- Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Rockets offensive rebound
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jarred Vanderbilt)
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams)
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot37-25
- Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
- Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
- Lakers personal foul
- +1Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 236-23
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson)
- +1Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 237-23
- Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot35-23
- Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- Rockets personal foul
- Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams)
- +3Lakers makes three point jump shot32-23
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot32-20
- Lakers turnover
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams, Dorian Finney-Smith)
- Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia, Jarred Vanderbilt)
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot30-20
- Steven Adams defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot27-20
- Rockets personal foul
- +1Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 225-19
- Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
- +1Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 225-20
- Steven Adams offensive rebound
- Steven Adams misses two point jump shot
- Luka Doncic defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot25-18
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- Rui Hachimura offensive rebound
- Lakers misses two point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot25-16
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot23-16
- Rockets violation
- Luka Doncic defensive rebound
- Lakers personal foul
- +1Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 223-14
- Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia)
- Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
- Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot22-14
- Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot22-12
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Lakers 60 second timeout
- Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
- Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart)
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot22-10
- Amen Thompson defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot20-10
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot18-10
- Lakers 60 second timeout
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot18-8
- Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot16-8
- Lakers turnover
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot14-8
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot12-8
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot12-6
- +3Lakers makes three point jump shot9-6
- Amen Thompson offensive rebound
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot9-3
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Kevin Durant defensive rebound
- Lakers misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot7-3
- Austin Reaves turnover (Tari Eason steals)
- Luka Doncic defensive rebound
- Rockets personal foul
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
- Rockets personal foul
- +1LeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 25-3
- LeBron James misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Rockets turnover
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Lakers turnover
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot5-2
- Lakers turnover
- Rockets turnover
- +2Lakers makes two point jump shot3-2
- Luka Doncic defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
- Tari Eason misses two point jump shot
- Lakers turnover
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot3-0
- Amen Thompson offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James)
- Start of 1st Quarter
- Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson)
- (Jabari Smith Jr. gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Rockets vs. Lakers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Rockets vs. Lakers
- Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 231.5
- Moneyline Odds: Rockets -124, Lakers +108
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Rockets: 54%
- Lakers: 46%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 116-115 Lakers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 54%, while the Lakers have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Lakers in the NBA game at Crypto.com Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rockets vs. Lakers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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