May 23, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, May 23, 2026
Read Article Lynx vs. Sky prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win Saturday's WNBA game [5/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Minnesota Lynx vs Chicago Sky predictions for WNBA Saturday.
The Chicago Sky will square off with the Minnesota Lynx, in what is expected to be a close WNBA game, at Wintrust Arena on Saturday, beginning at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model gives the Sky a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Lynx.
The Sky, who have star players like Skylar Diggins-Smith, Kamilla Cardoso and Natasha Cloud, will face off against the Lynx, whose lineup includes Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams and Olivia Miles.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's Lynx vs. Sky matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Lynx vs. Sky prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's WNBA matchup between the Lynx and Sky, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Sky a 51% chance of defeating the Lynx.
According to our model, the Sky (+2.5) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the 167.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of staying under.
Lynx vs. Sky odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lynx | Sky |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-110) | +2.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -142 | +120 |
| Total | o167.5 (-106) | u167.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lynx vs. Sky picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sky +2.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Sky | +120 |
| Total | Under 167.5 | -114 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Sky +2.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lynx vs. Sky player props
WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on Saturday's Minnesota vs. Chicago game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Wintrust Arena.
Kayla McBride is expected to lead the Lynx with 17 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Skylar Diggins-Smith is projected to have 15 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists for the Sky.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Lynx prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 17 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 31 |
| C. Williams | 16 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 38 |
| Olivia Miles | 15 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 33 |
| Natasha Howard | 14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 34 |
| Nia Coffey | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
Sky prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Diggins-Smith | 15 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 33 |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 |
| Natasha Cloud | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 29 |
| Gabriela Jaquez | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 |
| Jacy Sheldon | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
Lynx vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Sky and Lynx at Wintrust Arena is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky
- Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Wintrust Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Sky, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Lynx in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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