May 29, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, May 29, 2026
Read Article Lynx vs. Sky prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Friday's WNBA game [5/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Minnesota Lynx vs Chicago Sky predictions for WNBA Friday.
The Chicago Sky and Minnesota Lynx will meet in the WNBA at Wintrust Arena on Friday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Lynx vs. Sky game.
The Sky, led by Skylar Diggins-Smith, Kamilla Cardoso and Sydney Taylor, are set to take on the Lynx, whose lineup includes Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams and Olivia Miles.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Lynx vs. Sky prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Lynx and Sky, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Lynx a 62% chance of defeating the Sky.
According to our model, the Sky (+5.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 172.5-point over/under has a 59% chance of staying under.
Lynx vs. Sky odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lynx | Sky |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-102) | +5.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -200 | +180 |
| Total | o172.5 (-110) | u172.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lynx vs. Sky picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sky +5.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | Sky | +180 |
| Total | Under 172.5 | -105 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 172.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lynx vs. Sky player props
WNBA player props are a common way to wager on Friday's Minnesota vs. Chicago matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Wintrust Arena.
Kayla McBride is expected to lead the Lynx with 17 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Skylar Diggins-Smith is projected to have 15 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists for the Sky.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Kamilla Cardoso as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Lynx prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 17 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 32 |
| C. Williams | 17 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 39 |
| Olivia Miles | 15 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 34 |
| Natasha Howard | 14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 34 |
| Nia Coffey | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
Sky prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Diggins-Smith | 15 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 32 |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 30 |
| Sydney Taylor | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| Natasha Cloud | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 27 |
| Azura Stevens | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
Lynx vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Sky and Lynx at Wintrust Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky
- Date: Friday, May 29, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Wintrust Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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