May 29, 2026
Best WNBA bets today: Friday's picks include Lynx vs. Sky play [5/29/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, May 29, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 5/29.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Friday, May 29, 2026—are live with the Hawks' Kiki Iriafen projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Iriafen, Dearica Hamby and Allisha Gray lead Friday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (May 29, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 14.9% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 14.1% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 13.6% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 13.6% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 13.2% |
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 13.1% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 12.8% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 12.7% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 12.4% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 12.0% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 11.9% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 11.9% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 11.8% |
| Satou Sabally (Liberty) | 11.6% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 11.5% |
| Natasha Mack (Mercury) | 10.9% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 10.4% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 10.3% |
| Pauline Astier (Liberty) | 10.3% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 9.8% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 9.6% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 9.4% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 9.3% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 9.3% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 8.6% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 8.5% |
| Marine Johannes (Liberty) | 8.4% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 8.3% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 8.2% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 7.8% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 7.7% |
| Jacy Sheldon (Sky) | 7.5% |
| Luisa Geiselsoder (Fire) | 7.5% |
| Nyadiew Puoch (Fire) | 7.4% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 7.3% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 7.3% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 7.1% |
| Cassandre Prosper (Mystics) | 6.4% |
| Noemie Brochant (Mercury) | 6.0% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 5.7% |
WNBA first basket picks today (May 29, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 4.0% | +1100 | 12.4% |
| Jordin Canada | Dream | 2.2% | +1300 | 9.4% |
| Allisha Gray | Dream | 1.9% | +750 | 13.6% |
| Ariel Atkins | Sparks | 1.8% | +1400 | 8.5% |
| Marine Johannes | Liberty | 0.7% | +1200 | 8.4% |
| Rae Burrell | Sparks | 0.6% | +1200 | 8.3% |
| Jacy Sheldon | Sky | 0.4% | +1300 | 7.5% |
| Natasha Mack | Mercury | 0.4% | +850 | 10.9% |
| Natasha Howard | Lynx | 0.3% | +700 | 12.8% |
| Emily Engstler | Fire | 0.3% | +950 | 9.8% |
| Naz Hillmon | Dream | 0.2% | +1300 | 7.3% |
| Nia Coffey | Lynx | 0.2% | +1300 | 7.3% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 5/29.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Friday, May 29, 2026, Kiki Iriafen, Dearica Hamby and Allisha Gray lead our first basket projections, while Courtney Williams shapes as the strongest value play at +1100. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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