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Read Article Marlins vs. Twins prediction: Why Miami is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [5/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins predictions for MLB Wednesday.
The Minnesota Twins will square off with the Miami Marlins, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Target Field on Wednesday, starting at 7:40 PM ET.
The Twins will have Simeon Woods Richardson (0-5, 6.92 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against Max Meyer (2-0, 2.79 ERA) for the Marlins.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Marlins a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Twins.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's Marlins vs. Twins matchup, including best bets and picks.
Marlins vs. Twins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Marlins and Twins, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Marlins a 52% chance of defeating the Twins.
According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of nine runs has a 52% chance of going over.
Marlins vs. Twins odds [5/13/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Marlins | Twins |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+130) | +1.5 (-154) |
| Moneyline | -130 | +110 |
| Total | o9 (+100) | u9 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Marlins vs. Twins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Twins +1.5 | -154 |
| Moneyline | Twins | +110 |
| Total | Over 9 | +100 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Marlins vs. Twins game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB action between the Twins and Marlins at Target Field is scheduled to begin at 7:40 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins
- Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
- Time: 7:40 PM ET/4:40PM PT
- Venue: Target Field
Conclusion
We predict the Marlins, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Twins in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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