Men's college basketball picks today: Thursday's best bets include North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield play [12/11/2025]

Cal State Bakersfield +6.5 (-108)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield (9:30PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has identified value on Cal State Bakersfield +6.5 at -108 odds. A 57.7% probability produces an edge of 5.8%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Appalachian State +3.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Appalachian State vs. East Carolina (7:00PM ET, Thursday)

Appalachian State +3.5 carries a 5.3% edge and a probability of 55.8% at -102 odds, according to our model.

Saint Joseph's (PA) +13.5 (-110)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Saint Joseph's (PA) vs. Syracuse (9:00PM ET, Thursday)

Saint Joseph's (PA) +13.5 vs. Syracuse at -110 odds shows a 4.9% edge, supported by a 57.3% probability in simulations.

Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley over 144.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley (7:30PM ET, Thursday)

A 4.7% edge and 56% probability make Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley over 144.5 points at a value play in the Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley matchup, per our model.

Cal State Bakersfield ML (+245)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 33.6%
• Matchup: North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield (9:30PM ET, Thursday)

Cal State Bakersfield ML at +245 odds presents a 4.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 33.6%.

Appalachian State ML (+162)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 40.3%
• Matchup: Appalachian State vs. East Carolina (7:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model finds value on Appalachian State to win at +162 odds, supported by an edge of 2.1%.

NCAAM best bets summary: Thursday, 12/11/2025

As of 8:32AM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield	Cal State Bakersfield +6.5	-108 @ DraftKings	5.8%	57.7%
Appalachian State vs. East Carolina	Appalachian State +3.5	-102 @ DraftKings	5.3%	55.8%
Saint Joseph's (PA) vs. Syracuse	Saint Joseph's (PA) +13.5	-110 @ BetMGM	4.9%	57.3%
Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley	Over 144.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	4.7%	56%
North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield	Cal State Bakersfield ML	+245 @ FanDuel	4.6%	33.6%
Appalachian State vs. East Carolina	Appalachian State ML	+162 @ FanDuel	2.1%	40.3%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Western Carolina vs. Virginia Tech (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Appalachian State vs. East Carolina (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Iowa vs. Iowa State (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Alabama State vs. Missouri (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Saint Joseph's (PA) vs. Syracuse (9:00PM ET, Thursday)
• North Dakota State vs. Cal State Bakersfield (9:30PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for December 11, 2025, featuring plays such as Cal State Bakersfield +6.5 and Appalachian State +3.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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