Men's college basketball picks today: Saturday's best bets include Baylor vs. Memphis play [12/6/2025]

Memphis +3.5 (-120)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 61.2%
• Matchup: Baylor vs. Memphis (4:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on Memphis +3.5 at -120 odds. A 61.2% probability produces an edge of 6.6%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Grand Canyon +3.5 (-120)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 60.7%
• Matchup: Oklahoma State vs. Grand Canyon (7:30PM ET, Saturday)

Grand Canyon +3.5 carries a 6.1% edge and a probability of 60.7% at -120 odds, according to our model.

Arkansas-Little Rock +8.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock (9:00PM ET, Saturday)

Arkansas-Little Rock +8.5 vs. Arkansas State at -105 odds shows a 6.0% edge, supported by a 57.3% probability in simulations.

Wichita State +3.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Wichita State vs. Northern Iowa (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 6.0% edge and 58.4% probability make Wichita State +3.5 vs. Northern Iowa at a value play in the Wichita State vs. Northern Iowa matchup, per our model.

Buffalo +5.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: St. Bonaventure vs. Buffalo (2:00PM ET, Saturday)

Buffalo +5.5 at -110 odds presents a 5.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58%.

New Hampshire +5.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: Boston University vs. New Hampshire (7:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model finds value on New Hampshire +5.5 at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 5.7%.

Fordham -9.5 (-105)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Matchup: Holy Cross vs. Fordham (2:00PM ET, Saturday) Our model has uncovered value on Fordham -9.5 at -105 odds. A 56.8% probability produces a 5.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Virginia -6.5 (-108)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Dayton vs. Virginia (12:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 5.4% edge on a 57.3% probability makes Virginia -6.5 at -108 odds a solid value play in today's Dayton vs. Virginia matchup.

Tulane +7.5 (-110)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Akron vs. Tulane (4:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model projects value on Tulane +7.5 at -110 odds. A 57.3% probability produces a 4.9% edge, making Tulane the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Lehigh +3.5 (-115)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: LIU vs. Lehigh (5:00PM ET, Saturday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Lehigh +3.5 at -115 odds shows a 58.4% probability and a 4.9% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Saturday, 12/6/2025

As of 2:32AM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Baylor vs. Memphis	Memphis +3.5	-120 @ FanDuel	6.6%	61.2%
Oklahoma State vs. Grand Canyon	Grand Canyon +3.5	-120 @ FanDuel	6.1%	60.7%
Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock	Arkansas-Little Rock +8.5	-105 @ DraftKings	6.0%	57.3%
Wichita State vs. Northern Iowa	Wichita State +3.5	-110 @ BetMGM	6.0%	58.4%
St. Bonaventure vs. Buffalo	Buffalo +5.5	-110 @ DraftKings	5.7%	58%
Boston University vs. New Hampshire	New Hampshire +5.5	-110 @ BetMGM	5.7%	58%
Holy Cross vs. Fordham	Fordham -9.5	-105 @ BetMGM	5.6%	56.8%
Dayton vs. Virginia	Virginia -6.5	-108 @ DraftKings	5.4%	57.3%
Akron vs. Tulane	Tulane +7.5	-110 @ DraftKings	4.9%	57.3%
LIU vs. Lehigh	Lehigh +3.5	-115 @ BetMGM	4.9%	58.4%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Duke vs. Michigan State (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Iowa State vs. Purdue (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Dayton vs. Virginia (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Southern Miss vs. Miami (FL) (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Monmouth vs. Georgia Tech (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• UMBC vs. Bucknell (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Rhode Island vs. Providence (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Old Dominion vs. Richmond (12:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Utah Valley vs. Bowling Green (1:00PM ET, Saturday)
• UNC Asheville vs. North Carolina State (1:00PM ET, Saturday)

Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for December 6, 2025, featuring plays such as Memphis +3.5 and Grand Canyon +3.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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