Maryland vs. Iowa prediction: Why Iowa is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/6/2025]

Men's college basketball action continues on Saturday at 4:00PM ET as Maryland looks to defy the odds against Iowa in men's college basketball action at Carver-Hawkeye Arena.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Iowa as the most likely winner of the Maryland vs. Iowa game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Maryland vs. Iowa prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Maryland and Iowa 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Iowa an 87% chance of beating Maryland. Our predicted final score has Iowa winning 76-64.

According to our model, Iowa (-10.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 136.5 points has a 56% chance of going over.

Maryland vs. Iowa odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Maryland vs. Iowa picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: