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Marlins vs. Padres Prediction and Odds - May 5, 2022

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Written by Dimers Data
Marlins vs. Padres Prediction and Odds - May 5, 2022

The San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins are scheduled to meet in MLB at PETCO Park on Thursday, starting at 9:40PM ET.

The Padres will have Nick Martinez (1-2, 4.12 ERA) start, while the Marlins are going with Jesús Luzardo (2-1, 3.10 ERA).

Dimers' best betting picks for Marlins vs. Padres, plus game predictions and best odds, are featured below.

This Miami vs. San Diego betting analysis is sponsored by PointsBet, which has a 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets promo for new users.

 

Who will win Marlins vs. Padres?

Using advanced machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Marlins-Padres MLB matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Padres a 52% chance of defeating the Marlins.

More: Marlins vs. Padres Simulated 10K Times

Marlins vs. Padres Game Odds

  • Run Line: Padres +1.5 (-170), Marlins -1.5 (+150)
  • Moneyline: Padres +100, Marlins -110
  • Total: Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-120)

Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Padres are +1.5 underdogs against the Marlins, with -170 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Marlins (-1.5) to cover the run line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at +150.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Padres at +100, which means you can risk $100 to win $100, for a total payout of $200, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Marlins at -110, where you can risk $110 to win $100, for a total payout of $210, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under sits at 7.5 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at +105, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -120.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Padres (+1.5) are a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Best Bets Today for All Major Sports

Best Bets for Marlins vs. Padres

 

If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Dimers' best free picks of the day across any sport.

Dimers' best bets are based on complex simulations and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Although the Padres are more likely to cover the run line, our best bet of Marlins -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the top odds available.

Marlins vs. Padres Probabilities

Use our dynamic widget below to see up-to-date Moneyline, Over/Under and Run Line probabilities and odds for Miami vs. San Diego, and click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full coverage of Thursday's Marlins-Padres matchup, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so check this page for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of Marlins vs. Padres on Thursday May 5, 2022.

 

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Note: when you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

Marlins vs. Padres 2022 Game Info

When do the Padres play the Marlins?

  • Date: Thursday May 5, 2022
  • Time: 9:40PM ET / 6:40PM PT
  • Venue: PETCO Park

Looking to join an online sportsbook and start betting on MLB now? We've reviewed the best available welcome offers for each legal betting state.

What other MLB games are on today?

The Marlins and Padres aren't the only two MLB teams you can bet on today. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and best bets for every single MLB game via our MLB Predictions page.

Not only do we provide with you top-notch predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Run Line, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Hell yeah it does!

Finally, Dimers' Baseball Futures page is our in-house approach to revealing who will win the 2022 World Series, with our data-led probabilities compared to the best odds to win the World Series.

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Written by
Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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