Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction and Odds - May 8, 2022

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs meet in the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs in the NHL at Amalie Arena on Sunday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.

The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is an elimination tournament in the National Hockey League to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.

A total of 16 teams, including the Maple Leafs and Lightning, made the 2022 NHL Playoffs, which includes 4 rounds – the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to 4 wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Dimers' top betting picks for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning, as well as game predictions, best odds and player props, are featured in this article.

Who will win Maple Leafs vs. Lightning?

Using trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Maple Leafs-Lightning NHL Playoffs matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Lightning a 54% chance of beating the Maple Leafs.

More: Free Betting Analysis for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Odds

• Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (+190), Maple Leafs +1.5 (-220)
• Moneyline: Lightning -130, Maple Leafs +115
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-115/+100)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Lightning are listed as -1.5 favorites versus the Maple Leafs, with +190 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Maple Leafs (+1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at -220.

Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -130, which means you can risk $130 to win $100, for a total payout of $230, if they get the W.

On the other hand, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at +115, where you can put down $100 to profit $115, earning a total payout of $215, if they win.

The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -115, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at +100.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) are a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Predictions for Every NHL Game

Best Bets for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning

• Puck Line: Maple Leafs +1.5 @ -220 via DraftKings Sportsbook (67% probability)
• Moneyline: Maple Leafs @ +115 via PointsBet
• Total: Under 6.5 @ +100 via BetMGM (50% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering intelligence to help you make more informed decisions with the legal sportsbooks in America.

While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Maple Leafs moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers.com is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Betting Guide

Use our widget below to see up-to-date Moneyline, Over/Under and Puck Line probabilities and odds for Toronto vs. Tampa Bay, and click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full coverage of Sunday's Maple Leafs-Lightning matchup, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Maple Leafs and Lightning.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning.

DimersBOT gives Matthews a 9.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 45.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs

• Auston Matthews: 9.3% probability
• William Nylander: 4.9% probability
• Mitch Marner: 4.8% probability
• John Tavares: 4.3% probability
• Ilya Mikheyev: 3.7% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Nikita Kucherov: 7.7% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 6.7% probability
• Ross Colton: 5.6% probability
• Brayden Point: 5.1% probability
• Alex Killorn: 3.6% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs

• Auston Matthews: 45.9% probability
• Mitch Marner: 28.4% probability
• William Nylander: 27.3% probability
• John Tavares: 24.3% probability
• Ilya Mikheyev: 20.9% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Nikita Kucherov: 38.1% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 36.6% probability
• Ross Colton: 32.3% probability
• Brayden Point: 29.2% probability
• Alex Killorn: 21.9% probability

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Maple Leafs vs. Lightning on Sunday May 8, 2022.

Maple Leafs-Lightning Overtime Insurance Promo

Enjoy a bit of peace of mind when betting on Toronto vs. Tampa Bay this Sunday thanks to BetMGM.

If you place a bet on Maple Leafs vs. Lightning and your team loses in overtime, BetMGM will refund you up to $25 in Free Bets.

Simply join BetMGM using this exclusive link, opt in to the NHL Overtime Insurance promotion, and place a moneyline bet on Toronto vs. Tampa Bay.

This offer is available to all BetMGM users, and it's one of our favorite promos!

Note: when you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning 2022 Game Info

When do the Lightning play the Maple Leafs in the Stanley Cup Playoffs?

• Date: Sunday May 8, 2022
• Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
• Venue: Amalie Arena

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