Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction and Odds - Apr 4, 2022

The Tampa Bay Lightning square off with the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Monday, commencing at 7:30PM EDT.

Dimers' free betting picks for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning, plus game predictions, best odds and player props, are detailed below.

Who will win Maple Leafs vs. Lightning?

Using cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Monday's Maple Leafs-Lightning NHL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Lightning a 55% chance of beating the Maple Leafs.

MORE: Full Betting Guide for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Lightning are -1.5 favorites against the Maple Leafs, with +180 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Maple Leafs (+1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -200.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -135. That means you can risk $135 to win $100, for a total payout of $235, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at +122, where you can bet $100 to profit $122, earning a total payout of $222, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 6.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at +100, while Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) are a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under is a 52% chance of going Under.

MORE: Today's Best Bets for All Major Sports

Best Bets for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning

• Puck Line: Maple Leafs +1.5 @ -200 via DraftKings Sportsbook (67% probability)
• Moneyline: Maple Leafs @ +122 via FanDuel Sportsbook (0.3% edge)
• Over/Under: Under 6.5 @ -110 via Caesars Sportsbook (52% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to help you make smarter investments with the legal sportsbooks in your state.

While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Maple Leafs moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Probabilities

Use our dynamic widget below to see the latest Moneyline, Over/Under and Puck Line probabilities and odds for Toronto vs. Tampa Bay, and click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of Monday's Maple Leafs-Lightning matchup, including pre-game predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Maple Leafs and Lightning.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Monday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning.

DimersBOT gives Matthews a 12.0% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 52.4% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs

• Auston Matthews: 12.0% probability
• Mitch Marner: 6.3% probability
• John Tavares: 5.5% probability
• Ilya Mikheyev: 3.4% probability
• Michael Bunting: 3.4% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Steven Stamkos: 7.6% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 6.2% probability
• Brayden Point: 6.0% probability
• Alex Killorn: 4.0% probability
• Victor Hedman: 3.7% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs

• Auston Matthews: 52.4% probability
• Mitch Marner: 32.0% probability
• John Tavares: 28.9% probability
• Michael Bunting: 20.8% probability
• Ilya Mikheyev: 19.9% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Steven Stamkos: 39.0% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 33.3% probability
• Brayden Point: 33.1% probability
• Alex Killorn: 22.0% probability
• Victor Hedman: 20.5% probability

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so keep an eye on this article for the latest betting insights before Maple Leafs vs. Lightning on Monday April 4, 2022.

Get a Risk-Free Bet for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning

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Simply click or tap on this exclusive FanDuel Sportsbook link and create a new account – it's easy and takes less than 2 minutes.

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Note: when you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning 2022 Game Info

When do the Lightning play the Maple Leafs?

• Date: Monday April 4, 2022
• Time: 7:30PM EDT / 4:30PM PDT
• Venue: Amalie Arena

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