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Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Prediction and Odds - Dec 17, 2022

The Washington Capitals square off with the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at Capital One Arena on Saturday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.
Dimers' top betting picks for Maple Leafs vs. Capitals, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured in this article.
Who will win Maple Leafs vs. Capitals?
Using trusted computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Maple Leafs-Capitals NHL game 10,000 times.
Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Maple Leafs a 55% chance of beating the Capitals.
More: Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Simulated 10K Times
Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Game Odds
- Puck Line: Capitals +1.5 (-210), Maple Leafs -1.5 (+192)
- Moneyline: Capitals +125, Maple Leafs -135
- Total: Over/Under 6 (-114/+100)
Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Capitals are +1.5 underdogs versus the Maple Leafs, with -210 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.
For the favored Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the puck line, Caesars Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at +192.
BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Capitals at +125. That means you can bet $100 to profit $125, earning a total payout of $225, if they win.
On the other hand, Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -135, where you can risk $135 to win $100, for a total payout of $235, if they come out on top.
The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -114, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at +100.
As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Capitals (+1.5) are a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal Over/Under is a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Free Online Bet Tracker
Best Bets for Maple Leafs vs. Capitals
- Puck Line: Capitals +1.5 @ -210 via BetMGM (67% probability)
- Moneyline: Capitals @ +125 via BetMGM (0.3% edge)
- Total: Under 6 @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook
Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and betting expertise to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.
While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Capitals moneyline is the best option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit on this occasion, Under 6 is our best bet owing to the better odds (+100) that are available from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Probabilities
Click or tap on See Matchup for more.
Dimers has full coverage of Saturday's Maple Leafs-Capitals matchup, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.
Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Capitals? The latest data is in.
Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Maple Leafs and Capitals.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Saturday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Capitals.
DimersBOT gives Matthews a 10.6% chance of scoring the first goal at Capital One Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 46.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Probabilities
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Auston Matthews: 10.6% probability
- Mitch Marner: 6.9% probability
- John Tavares: 6.8% probability
- William Nylander: 6.4% probability
- Michael Bunting: 4.3% probability
Washington Capitals
- Alex Ovechkin: 8.4% probability
- T.J. Oshie: 4.4% probability
- Dylan Strome: 4.0% probability
- Evgeny Kuznetsov: 4.0% probability
- Anthony Mantha: 3.8% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Auston Matthews: 46.8% probability
- William Nylander: 34.4% probability
- Mitch Marner: 32.7% probability
- John Tavares: 30.9% probability
- Michael Bunting: 24.2% probability
Washington Capitals
- Alex Ovechkin: 41.2% probability
- T.J. Oshie: 22.7% probability
- Dylan Strome: 21.0% probability
- Evgeny Kuznetsov: 20.0% probability
- Anthony Mantha: 18.7% probability
Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting insights before Maple Leafs vs. Capitals on Saturday December 17, 2022.
Maple Leafs vs. Capitals 2022 Game Info
Saturday's action between the Capitals and Maple Leafs at Capital One Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington Capitals
- Date: Saturday December 17, 2022
- Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
- Venue: Capital One Arena
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What other NHL games are on tonight?
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Want a pick for the Puck Line? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!
