Sparks vs. Mystics prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Friday's WNBA matchup [5/29/2026]

WNBA action continues on Friday at 7:30 PM ET as the Los Angeles Sparks square off with the Washington Mystics at CareFirst Arena.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Mystics as the most likely winner of the Sparks vs. Mystics game.

The Mystics, with the likes of Shakira Austin, Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen, are set to take on the Sparks, who feature Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Ariel Atkins.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sparks vs. Mystics prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA game between the Sparks and Mystics, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mystics a 61% chance of beating the Sparks.

According to our model, the Mystics (-2.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 164.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

Sparks vs. Mystics odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sparks	Mystics
Spread	+2.5 (-110)	-2.5 (-106)
Moneyline	+115	-135
Total	o164.5 (-120)	u164.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sparks vs. Mystics picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Mystics -2.5	-106
Moneyline	Mystics	-135
Total	Under 164.5	-105

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mystics to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sparks vs. Mystics player props

WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Sparks vs. Mystics game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at CareFirst Arena.

Dearica Hamby is expected to lead the Sparks with 21 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Shakira Austin is projected to have 19 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Mystics.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Dearica Hamby as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sparks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Dearica Hamby	21	8	3	1	41
Nneka Ogwumike	19	6	2	2	36
Ariel Atkins	14	3	4	2	31
Erica Wheeler	12	3	4	2	28
Cameron Brink	9	6	1	1	27

Mystics prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mystics:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Shakira Austin	19	8	3	0	42
Sonia Citron	16	4	2	2	30
Kiki Iriafen	14	9	2	0	31
Georgia Amoore	9	1	5	2	22
Lauren Betts	8	4	2	0	19

Sparks vs. Mystics game-day updates and essential details

Friday's matchup between the Mystics and Sparks at CareFirst Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics
• Date: Friday, May 29, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: CareFirst Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Mystics, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.