May 29, 2026
Best WNBA bets today: Friday's picks include Lynx vs. Sky play [5/29/2026]
Read Article Sparks vs. Mystics prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Friday's WNBA matchup [5/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Los Angeles Sparks vs Washington Mystics predictions for WNBA Friday.
WNBA action continues on Friday at 7:30 PM ET as the Los Angeles Sparks take on the Washington Mystics at CareFirst Arena.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Mystics as the most likely winner of the Sparks vs. Mystics game.
The Mystics, with star players like Shakira Austin, Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen, are set to take on the Sparks, featuring Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Ariel Atkins.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sparks vs. Mystics prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA game between the Sparks and Mystics, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Mystics a 60% chance of defeating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Mystics (-2.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 165.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Sparks vs. Mystics odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sparks | Mystics |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-112) | -2.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +120 | -140 |
| Total | o165.5 (-110) | u165.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sparks vs. Mystics picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mystics -2.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Mystics | -140 |
| Total | Under 165.5 | -106 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mystics to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sparks vs. Mystics player props
WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on Friday's Sparks vs. Mystics game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at CareFirst Arena.
Dearica Hamby is expected to lead the Sparks with 19 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Shakira Austin is projected to have 19 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Mystics.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Kiki Iriafen as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sparks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 39 |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 17 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| Ariel Atkins | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| Erica Wheeler | 12 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 28 |
| Rae Burrell | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
Mystics prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mystics:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakira Austin | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 42 |
| Sonia Citron | 17 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Kiki Iriafen | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
| Cotie McMahon | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 |
| Lauren Betts | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 |
Sparks vs. Mystics game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Mystics and Sparks at CareFirst Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics
- Date: Friday, May 29, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: CareFirst Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Mystics, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
$0 for 3 days
then $14.99/week
Already a Pro member? Log in
New here? See everything Pro includes
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure
