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Longwood vs. Morgan State prediction: Why Longwood is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/6/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Longwood vs Morgan State predictions for college basketball Saturday.

Longwood-Morgan State Predictions and Game Preview.
Longwood vs. Morgan State men's college basketball prediction for Saturday, December 6, 2025.

Morgan State will take on the favored Longwood in men's college basketball action at Talmadge L. Hill Field House on Saturday, beginning at 4:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Longwood as the most likely winner of the Longwood vs. Morgan State game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Longwood vs. Morgan State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Longwood and Morgan State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Longwood a 68% chance of beating Morgan State. Our predicted final score has Longwood winning 79-74.

According to our model, Morgan State (+5.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 154.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Longwood vs. Morgan State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Longwood Morgan State
Spread -5.5 (-105) +5.5 (-115)
Moneyline -225 +198
Total o154.5 (-110) u154.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Longwood vs. Morgan State picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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