Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Predictions and Odds - Dec 9, 2021

NHL action continues on Thursday at 7:00 PM EST as the Tampa Bay Lightning lock horns with the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.

Dimers' top betting picks for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs, as well as game predictions and best odds, are detailed below.

Who will win Lightning vs. Maple Leafs?

Based on trusted computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Lightning-Maple Leafs NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' revolutionary predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Maple Leafs a 53% chance of winning against the Lightning.

MORE: Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Simulated 10K Times

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Maple Leafs are -1.5 favorites versus the Lightning, with +180 at BetMGM the best odds available.

For the underdog Lightning (+1.5) to cover the puck line, Caesars Sportsbook has the best odds on the market at -208.

DraftKings Sportsbook has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -135, which means you can risk $135 to win $100, for a total payout of $235, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, Caesars Sportsbook has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at +125, where you can put down $100 to profit $125, earning a total payout of $225, if they win.

The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 5.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which has the best odds for the Over at +106, while BetMGM has the best odds for the Under at -125.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Lightning (+1.5) are a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

MORE: Today's Best Bets for All Major Sports

Best Bets for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

• Puck Line: Lightning +1.5 at -208 with Caesars Sportsbook (68% probability)
• Moneyline: Lightning Win at +125 with Caesars Sportsbook (2.9% edge)
• Over/Under: Over 5.5 at +106 with FanDuel Sportsbook (50% probability)

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Lightning moneyline is the best option due to the 2.9% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Probabilities

Use our interactive widget below to explore the current Moneyline, Over/Under and Puck Line probabilities and odds for Tampa Bay vs. Toronto, and click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of Thursday's Lightning-Maple Leafs matchup, including pre-game predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so check this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Lightning vs. Maple Leafs on Thursday December 9, 2021.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs 2021 Game Info

When do the Maple Leafs play the Lightning?

• Date: Thursday December 9, 2021
• Time: 7:00 PM EST / 4:00 PM PST
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

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We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can produce the most comprehensive NHL betting previews available. We do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) as soon as they go live.

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