Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction and Odds - May 10, 2022

The Toronto Maple Leafs square off with the Tampa Bay Lightning in the 2022 NHL Playoffs at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, starting at 7:30PM ET.

The Stanley Cup Playoffs is an elimination tournament in the NHL to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.

Sixteen teams, including the Lightning and Maple Leafs, made the NHL Playoffs 2022, which consists of 4 rounds – the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to 4 wins advancing to the next round.

Dimers' best betting picks for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs, plus game predictions, best odds and player props, are featured in this article.

Who will win Lightning vs. Maple Leafs?

Based on trusted computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Tuesday's Lightning-Maple Leafs NHL Playoffs game 10,000 times.

Dimers' revolutionary predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Maple Leafs a 53% chance of defeating the Lightning.

More: Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Simulated 10K Times

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Odds

• Puck Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+190), Lightning +1.5 (-200)
• Moneyline: Maple Leafs -134, Lightning +120
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-115/+100)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Maple Leafs are -1.5 favorites versus the Lightning, with +190 at Caesars Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Lightning (+1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -200.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -134. That means you can risk $134 to win $100, for a total payout of $234, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at +120, where you can bet $100 to profit $120, earning a total payout of $220, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 6.5 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -115, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at +100.

As always, make sure you check all the online sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Lightning (+1.5) are a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under is a 51% chance of going Over.

More: Live Win Probabilities for All Major Sports

Best Bets for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

• Puck Line: Lightning +1.5 @ -200 via BetMGM (67% probability)
• Moneyline: Lightning @ +120 via DraftKings Sportsbook (1.1% edge)
• Total: Under 6.5 @ +100 via BetMGM

Dimers' best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible plays 24/7/365.

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Lightning moneyline is the best option because of the 1.1% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers.com is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit on this occasion, Under 6.5 is our best bet on account of the better odds (+100) that are available from BetMGM.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Guide

Use our interactive widget below to view the latest Moneyline, Over/Under and Puck Line probabilities and odds for Tampa Bay vs. Toronto, and click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of Tuesday's Lightning-Maple Leafs matchup, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live scores.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Maple Leafs? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Lightning and Maple Leafs.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Tuesday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Maple Leafs.

DimersBOT gives Matthews a 9.7% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 47.9% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Steven Stamkos: 6.7% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 6.3% probability
• Ross Colton: 6.3% probability
• Brayden Point: 4.9% probability
• Alex Killorn: 3.6% probability

Toronto Maple Leafs

• Auston Matthews: 9.7% probability
• William Nylander: 5.1% probability
• John Tavares: 5.0% probability
• Mitch Marner: 4.9% probability
• Ilya Mikheyev: 3.8% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Nikita Kucherov: 35.1% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 34.5% probability
• Ross Colton: 33.1% probability
• Brayden Point: 27.6% probability
• Alex Killorn: 19.8% probability

Toronto Maple Leafs

• Auston Matthews: 47.9% probability
• William Nylander: 30.2% probability
• Mitch Marner: 28.4% probability
• John Tavares: 27.6% probability
• Ilya Mikheyev: 22.6% probability

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so keep checking this page for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Lightning vs. Maple Leafs on Tuesday May 10, 2022.

Risk-Free Bet for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

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Note: when you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs 2022 Game Info

Tuesday's action between the Maple Leafs and Lightning in the Stanley Cup Playoffs will begin at 7:30PM ET.

• Date: Tuesday May 10, 2022
• Time: 7:30PM ET / 4:30PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Ready to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL Playoffs today? Check out the top sports betting offers in your state.

What NHL games are on tonight?

The Lightning and Maple Leafs aren't the only two NHL teams you can bet on. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and top bets for every single NHL game in our NHL Bet Hub section.

Not only do we provide with you quality predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Puck Line, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Hell yeah it does!