Lightning vs. Capitals Prediction and Odds - Nov 11, 2022

The Washington Capitals take on the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at Capital One Arena on Friday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Lightning vs. Capitals, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured in this article.

Who will win Lightning vs. Capitals?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Friday's Lightning-Capitals NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Lightning a 55% chance of winning against the Capitals.

More: Lightning vs. Capitals Simulated 10K Times

Lightning vs. Capitals Game Odds

• Puck Line: Capitals +1.5 (-190), Lightning -1.5 (+176)
• Moneyline: Capitals +120, Lightning -138
• Total: Over/Under 6 (-110/-105)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Capitals are +1.5 underdogs against the Lightning, with -190 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Lightning (-1.5) to cover the puck line, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at +176.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Capitals at +120, which means you can bet $100 to profit $120, earning a total payout of $220, if they win.

On the other hand, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -138, where you can risk $138 to win $100, for a total payout of $238, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6 with Caesars Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Capitals (+1.5) are a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6 goals is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Track Your Bets via Bet Center

Best Bets for Lightning vs. Capitals

• Puck Line: Capitals +1.5 @ -190 via DraftKings Sportsbook (67% probability)
• Moneyline: Capitals @ +120 via BetMGM
• Total: Under 6 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook (50% probability)

Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and gambling expertise to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.

While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Capitals moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.

Lightning vs. Capitals Prediction

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Dimers has full betting coverage of Friday's Lightning-Capitals matchup, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Lightning vs. Capitals Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs. Capitals? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Lightning and Capitals.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Friday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Washington's Alex Ovechkin is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Capitals.

DimersBOT gives Ovechkin a 9.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Capital One Arena, while the Capitals star is a 42.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Nikita Kucherov: 8.6% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 8.4% probability
• Brayden Point: 7.0% probability
• Alex Killorn: 4.1% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 3.7% probability

Washington Capitals

• Alex Ovechkin: 9.4% probability
• Dylan Strome: 5.1% probability
• Conor Sheary: 4.2% probability
• Anthony Mantha: 3.9% probability
• Evgeny Kuznetsov: 3.9% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Nikita Kucherov: 40.5% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 39.6% probability
• Brayden Point: 33.2% probability
• Alex Killorn: 20.2% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 20.0% probability

Washington Capitals

• Alex Ovechkin: 42.6% probability
• Dylan Strome: 25.0% probability
• Anthony Mantha: 21.9% probability
• Conor Sheary: 21.4% probability
• Evgeny Kuznetsov: 20.7% probability

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so keep checking this page for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of Lightning vs. Capitals on Friday November 11, 2022.

Lightning vs. Capitals 2022 Game Info

Friday's matchup between the Capitals and Lightning at Capital One Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Washington Capitals
• Date: Friday November 11, 2022
• Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
• Venue: Capital One Arena

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Want more NHL predictions like this?

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We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can produce the most comprehensive NHL betting previews out there. We do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) the minute they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.