Lightning vs. Capitals Prediction and Odds - Apr 6, 2022

The Washington Capitals and Tampa Bay Lightning clash in the NHL at Capital One Arena on Wednesday, starting at 7:30PM EDT.

Dimers' free betting picks for Lightning vs. Capitals, plus game predictions, best odds and player props, are featured in this article.

Who will win Lightning vs. Capitals?

Using trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Wednesday's Lightning-Capitals NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Lightning a 55% chance of winning against the Capitals.

MORE: Lightning vs. Capitals Simulated 10,000 Times

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Capitals are +1.5 underdogs against the Lightning, with -190 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the favored Lightning (-1.5) to cover the puck line, Caesars Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at +170.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Capitals at +130. That means you can bet $100 to profit $130, earning a total payout of $230, if they win.

Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -142, where you can risk $142 to win $100, for a total payout of $242, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under is set at 6.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -104, while Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -115.

As always, make sure you check all the legal sportbooks that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Capitals (+1.5) are a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under is a 54% chance of going Under.

MORE: Today's Best Bets for All Major Sports

Best Bets for Lightning vs. Capitals

• Puck Line: Capitals +1.5 @ -190 via BetMGM (66% probability)
• Moneyline: Capitals @ +130 via DraftKings Sportsbook (1.6% edge)
• Over/Under: Under 6.5 @ -115 via Caesars Sportsbook (54% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to serve you the best possible plays 24/7.

While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Capitals moneyline is the best option because of the 1.6% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.

Lightning vs. Capitals Probabilities

Use our interactive widget below to explore the latest Moneyline, Over/Under and Puck Line probabilities and odds for Tampa Bay vs. Washington, and click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full coverage of Wednesday's Lightning-Capitals matchup, including pre-game predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Lightning vs. Capitals Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Capitals? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Lightning and Capitals.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Wednesday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Washington's Alex Ovechkin is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Capitals.

DimersBOT gives Ovechkin an 8.7% chance of scoring the first goal at Capital One Arena, while the Capitals star is a 41.7% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Nikita Kucherov: 7.0% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 6.9% probability
• Brayden Point: 6.4% probability
• Ross Colton: 3.9% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 3.5% probability

Washington Capitals

• Alex Ovechkin: 8.7% probability
• Evgeny Kuznetsov: 5.1% probability
• T.J. Oshie: 4.2% probability
• Anthony Mantha: 4.1% probability
• Tom Wilson: 4.0% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Steven Stamkos: 34.8% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 33.8% probability
• Brayden Point: 31.4% probability
• Ross Colton: 21.3% probability
• Alex Killorn: 20.6% probability

Washington Capitals

• Alex Ovechkin: 41.7% probability
• Evgeny Kuznetsov: 27.0% probability
• T.J. Oshie: 23.9% probability
• Tom Wilson: 23.4% probability
• Anthony Mantha: 21.1% probability

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting insights ahead of Lightning vs. Capitals on Wednesday April 6, 2022.

Lightning vs. Capitals $10 Live Free Bet

Free bet alert! New and existing BetMGM customers can get a $10 Free Bet to use on any sport when they place a $50+ live bet on Tampa Bay vs. Washington this Wednesday.

Simply join BetMGM using this exclusive link, opt in to the NHL Hit the Ice promotion, and place a $50+ live bet on Lightning vs. Capitals to earn your $10 Free Bet reward. How good is that!

Note: when you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

Lightning vs. Capitals 2022 Game Info

When do the Capitals play the Lightning?

• Date: Wednesday April 6, 2022
• Time: 7:30PM EDT / 4:30PM PDT
• Venue: Capital One Arena

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Want more NHL analysis like this?

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We use the power of predictive analytics to find value in the markets so we can produce the most comprehensive NHL betting previews out there. We do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) as soon as they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the 'books today – it's only a click away.