Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]

NFL action continues on Christmas Day at 1:00PM ET as the Las Vegas Raiders take on the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.'s in-depth betting preview for Monday's Raiders vs. Chiefs matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Raiders vs. Chiefs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used advanced machine learning and statistics to simulate the result of Monday's NFL matchup between the Raiders and Chiefs 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL predictions.

Our popular predictive analytics model currently gives the Chiefs an 89% chance of beating the Raiders in Week 16 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 25-14.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and both the Raiders and Chiefs have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 40.5-point Over/Under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

This Las Vegas vs. Kansas City betting preview is presented by Bet365, which has a Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

Raiders vs. Chiefs Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Raiders Chiefs
Spread +11 (-102) -11 (-118)
Moneyline +475 -550
Total o40.5 (-105) u40.5 (-110)
  • The Chiefs are listed as -11 favorites against the Raiders, with -118 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Raiders (+11) to cover the spread, DraftKings also has the best odds currently on offer at -102.
  • FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -550. That means you can risk $550 to win $100 for a total payout of $650 if they get the W.
  • Elsewhere, BetMGM Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Raiders at +475, where you can bet $100 to profit $475, earning a total payout of $575 if they win.
  • The Over/Under is set at 40.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out all of the sports betting sites that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Raiders vs. Chiefs Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have found the best betting picks to place on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Raiders +11 -102
Moneyline Chiefs -550
Total Over 40.5 -105


Our NFL best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every time.

Calling all football fans! If you are yet to sign up with DraftKings Sportsbook, today is the day! Click here to sign up, and then place a $5 wager on Las Vegas vs. Kansas City to receive $150 in bonus bets, win or lose!

Raiders vs. Chiefs TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Raiders vs. Chiefs?

According to our model, Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco is most likely to score the first touchdown in Raiders vs. Chiefs.

Our projections give Pacheco a 12.1% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs RB is a 45.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

Player First TD Probability
Davante Adams 9.1%
Zamir White 8.6%
Jakobi Meyers 5.9%
Ameer Abdullah 5.6%
Austin Hooper 2.4%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player First TD Probability
Isiah Pacheco 12.1%
Travis Kelce 10.7%
Rashee Rice 9.7%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 6.1%
Patrick Mahomes 4.9%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

Player Anytime TD Probability
Davante Adams 37.6%
Zamir White 35.8%
Jakobi Meyers 25.4%
Ameer Abdullah 23.7%
Austin Hooper 11.2%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player Anytime TD Probability
Isiah Pacheco 45.7%
Travis Kelce 41.5%
Rashee Rice 38.4%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 25.0%
Patrick Mahomes 21.3%

Raiders vs Chiefs Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Raiders and Chiefs, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Raiders vs. Chiefs Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Aidan O'Connell is projected to have a quiet game with 187 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for 259 yards.

Player Proj. Pass Yards
Aidan O'Connell (LV) 187 yds
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 259 yds

Raiders Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Zamir White 70 yds
Ameer Abdullah 17 yds
Aidan O'Connell 11 yds

Chiefs Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Isiah Pacheco 60 yds
Patrick Mahomes 24 yds
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 19 yds

Raiders Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Davante Adams 70 yds
Jakobi Meyers 32 yds
Hunter Renfrow 29 yds
Austin Hooper 22 yds
Tre Tucker 16 yds

Chiefs Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Travis Kelce 67 yds
Rashee Rice 59 yds
Richie James 31 yds
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 31 yds
Noah Gray 20 yds

Don't forget, our model updates regularly, so keep an eye on this page for any changes to our betting insights before the Raiders vs. Chiefs on Monday December 25, 2023.

Raiders vs. Chiefs Game Information

The NFL Week 16 game between the Chiefs and Raiders at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.


Our full coverage of Raiders vs. Chiefs includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Raiders vs. Chiefs

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL? Check out the top sports betting sign-up offers in your state, including Bet365, where you get $150 in bonus bets for signing up and bettting $5 on Las Vegas vs. Kansas City.


This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Raiders vs. Chiefs Week 14 clash, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Dimers' predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Raiders vs. Chiefs predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may get a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the most recent NFL news and our data-led NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the most up-to-date probabilities and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.

Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver has long been entrenched in the world of sports and sports betting, now specializing in the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. His passion shines through in his detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles for both the NBA and NFL, along with his sharp prop bets for college football and insightful best bets for college basketball. Ryan’s expertise also extends to soccer, where he frequently offers practical betting tips and highlights the bets of the day. 

Known for his keen eye for valuable betting promos, Ryan adeptly guides bettors toward opportunities that enhance their wagering experiences. Collaborating often with DimersBOT, his articles are meticulously researched and offer savvy betting advice, making him a trusted source for sports bettors.

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