May 31, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, May 31, 2026
Read Article Aces vs. Valkyries prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [5/31/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries predictions for WNBA Sunday.
The Golden State Valkyries and Las Vegas Aces will meet in the WNBA at Chase Center on Sunday, starting at 3:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model gives the Aces a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Valkyries.
The Valkyries, led by Veronica Burton, Tiffany Hayes and Kayla Thornton, will face off against the Aces, featuring A'ja Wilson, Chennedy Carter and Jackie Young.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Aces vs. Valkyries matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Aces vs. Valkyries prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Aces and Valkyries, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Aces a 53% chance of beating the Valkyries.
According to our model, the Valkyries (+1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 168.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Aces vs. Valkyries odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Aces | Valkyries |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-118) | +1.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -130 | +110 |
| Total | o168.5 (-110) | u168.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Aces vs. Valkyries picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Valkyries +1.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Valkyries | +110 |
| Total | Under 168.5 | -110 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Valkyries +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Aces vs. Valkyries player props
Betting on Las Vegas vs. Golden State WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 26 points, 10 rebounds and 4 assists, while Veronica Burton is projected to have 12 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Valkyries.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Chennedy Carter as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Aces prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 26 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 52 |
| Chennedy Carter | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 28 |
| Jackie Young | 15 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 34 |
| Chelsea Gray | 10 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 31 |
| Jewell Loyd | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 |
Valkyries prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Valkyries:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Burton | 12 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 30 |
| Tiffany Hayes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 22 |
| Kayla Thornton | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
| Gabby Williams | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
| Janelle Salaun | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
Aces vs. Valkyries game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the Valkyries and Aces at Chase Center is scheduled to commence at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries
- Date: Sunday, May 31, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Aces, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Valkyries in Sunday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
$0 for 3 days
then $14.99/week
Already a Pro member? Log in
New here? See everything Pro includes
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure
