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Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, May 31, 2026
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 5/31.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Sunday, May 31, 2026—are live with the Chennedy Carter projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Carter, A'ja Wilson and Gabby Williams lead Sunday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also identify tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (May 31, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Chennedy Carter (Aces) | 15.0% |
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 14.6% |
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 13.3% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 11.4% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 10.9% |
| Kaila Charles (Valkyries) | 9.1% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 8.7% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 6.8% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 5.3% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 5.1% |
WNBA first basket picks today (May 31, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 2.8% | +850 | 13.3% |
| Chelsea Gray | Aces | 0.1% | +1400 | 6.8% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 5/31.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Sunday, May 31, 2026, Chennedy Carter, A'ja Wilson and Gabby Williams lead our first basket projections, with Williams shaping as the strongest value play at +850. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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