Los Angeles Lakers vs. Miami Heat 2020 NBA Finals Game 3: Predictions, picks and bets

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Miami Heat 2020 NBA Finals Game 3: Predictions, picks and bets

The Los Angeles Lakers have one hand on the Larry O’Brien trophy as they match up against a banged-up Miami Heat in Game Three of the NBA Finals.

It’s been a clinical series for LA thus far, putting the Heat to the sword by double digits in both games to race to a 2-0 lead. As expected, LeBron James and Anthony Davis have been able to dine out on Miami’s defense, getting what they want whenever they want it.

Is a Lakers title simply a formality at this point, or can the Heat make something of a series rapidly slipping out of their grasp? Looking to make a wager on this one? New DraftKings customers get a $500 Matched Deposit and $500 Risk Free Bet when you join with Dimers. That's $1,000 in bonuses on sign up! JOIN HERE.

Here are our best plays for a huge game:

 

Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥 BEST: Heat ML (+390*)
💪 Spread: Heat +9
🚀 Over/Under: UNDER 219.5 points
🚨 Best online sportsbooks here

 

  🔥  BEST
Moneyline: Heat H2H (+390) has a 3.2% edge on the sportsbooks

The Lakers have been rampaging so far in these Finals, but that’s not to say that Miami have not had their chances. The Heat led early in Game 1 by 13 points and accounted themselves well in the first quarter of Game 2.

Our model believes Miami is overpriced and worth a small nibble at the moneyline here. To do it they’ll need a complete performance.

 

 

  💪  Spread
Heat +9.5 has a 52% probability

The availability of Heat C Bam Adebayo will likely not be known until the tip, so the line could swing depending on if he plays or not, but our model likes the Heat to cover in this one. It goes without saying that stifling the input of Davis and James is the key here.

Place an In-Play bet with PointBet on all NBA Finals and receive a Matched In-Play Free bet up to $25.

 

 

 🚀  Over/Under
UNDER 219.5 points has a 51% probability

After a Game 1 which stayed under, Game 2 was a high scoring game in which the Lakers took an NBA Finals-record 47 three-point attempts. Heat coach Erik Spoelstra is too much of a pro to let that kind of statistic go unnoticed. Expect Miami to tighten up their perimeter defense and put more pressure on the Lakers shooters as this one goes Under.‍

 

 

🏀 Dimers' take-out

This is a make-or-break game for the Miami Heat who have looked like they don’t belong in these NBA Finals. The team has had their doubters all year and have proved them wrong. They’ll need to do that again in Game 3.

Looking to get started with an online sportsbook? Dimers has compiled the list of the most trusted books right here.

*odds are correct at time of publishing

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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