Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - AFC Championship Game [2024]

The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs are scheduled to meet in the AFC Championship Game of the NFL Playoffs at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, starting at 3:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full betting preview for this week's Chiefs vs. Ravens matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Chiefs vs. Ravens Prediction: Model Forecasts Win For The Home Team

We have used trusted machine learning and statistics to simulate the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Chiefs and Ravens 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL predictions.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Ravens a 64% chance of defeating the Chiefs, and our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 23-19.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and both the Chiefs and Ravens have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 45-point Over/Under also has a 57% chance of going under.

This Kansas City vs. Baltimore betting preview is sponsored by BetMGM Sportsbook, which has a Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

Chiefs vs. Ravens Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Chiefs	Ravens
Spread	+3.5 (-105)	-3.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+165	-192
Total	o45 (-110)	u45 (-120)

• The Ravens are listed as -3.5 favorites against the Chiefs, with -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
• For the underdog Chiefs (+3.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -105.
• DraftKings currently has the best moneyline odds for the Ravens at -192, which means you can risk $192 to win $100 for a total payout of $292 if they get the W.
• BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at +165, where you can bet $100 to profit $165, earning a total payout of $265 if they win.
• The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 45 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -120.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out all the legal sports betting sites available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Chiefs vs. Ravens Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks to make on this game:

Bet Type	Our Pick	Best Odds
Spread	Chiefs +3.5	-105
Moneyline	Ravens	-192
Total	Under 45	-120

Dimers' NFL best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to serve you the best possible plays every week of the season.

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Chiefs vs. Ravens TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chiefs vs. Ravens?

According to our model, Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco is most likely to score the first TD in Chiefs vs. Ravens.

Our projections give Pacheco an 11.1% chance of getting in for six first at M&T Bank Stadium, while the Chiefs RB is a 45.0% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	First TD Probability
Isiah Pacheco	11.1%
Travis Kelce	8.7%
Rashee Rice	8.0%
Patrick Mahomes	4.4%
Mecole Hardman	3.6%

Baltimore Ravens

Player	First TD Probability
Lamar Jackson	9.5%
Gus Edwards	8.2%
Mark Andrews	7.2%
Justice Hill	6.4%
Zay Flowers	6.2%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Isiah Pacheco	45.0%
Travis Kelce	38.5%
Rashee Rice	36.2%
Patrick Mahomes	21.6%
Mecole Hardman	17.6%

Baltimore Ravens

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Lamar Jackson	40.4%
Gus Edwards	36.3%
Mark Andrews	30.9%
Zay Flowers	27.9%
Justice Hill	27.4%

Chiefs vs Ravens Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Chiefs and Ravens, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Chiefs vs. Ravens Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 229 passing yards. The Ravens' Lamar Jackson is expected to throw for 244 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Patrick Mahomes (KC)	229 yds
Lamar Jackson (BAL)	244 yds

Chiefs Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Isiah Pacheco	75 yds
Patrick Mahomes	21 yds
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	11 yds

Ravens Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Lamar Jackson	59 yds
Gus Edwards	46 yds
Justice Hill	38 yds

Chiefs Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Rashee Rice	67 yds
Travis Kelce	59 yds
Marquez Valdes-Scantling	24 yds
Justin Watson	20 yds
Mecole Hardman	16 yds

Ravens Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Zay Flowers	50 yds
Mark Andrews	45 yds
Rashod Bateman	33 yds
Nelson Agholor	27 yds
Odell Beckham	23 yds

Don't forget, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting insights before the Chiefs vs. Ravens on Sunday January 28, 2024.

Chiefs vs. Ravens Game Information

Sunday's game between the Ravens and Chiefs at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:00PM ET.

• Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens
• Date: Sunday January 28, 2024
• Time: 3:00PM ET / 12:00PM PT
• Venue: M&T Bank Stadium

Our full coverage of Chiefs vs. Ravens includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Chiefs vs. Ravens

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Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on this week's Chiefs vs. Ravens game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' picks are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Chiefs vs. Ravens predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

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