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Jasmine Paolini vs. Katie Boulter prediction, odds, picks for WTA Merida 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Paolini vs Boulter predictions for WTA Merida.
Jasmine Paolini will face Katie Boulter in the quarterfinals at the WTA Merida event on Friday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Jasmine Paolini as the most likely winner of the Paolini vs. Boulter match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Paolini vs. Boulter prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Paolini-Boulter women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Paolini a 62% chance of winning against Boulter at the WTA Merida tournament.
Additionally, Paolini has a 59% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Paolini (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 20.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Jasmine Paolini vs. Katie Boulter odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -177 | +150 |
| First Set | -175 | +137 |
| Game Spread | -2.5 (-150) | +2.5 (-105) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (-118) | u20.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Paolini vs. Boulter picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Paolini | -177 |
| First Set | Boulter | -118 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Jasmine Paolini to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Paolini vs. Boulter updates and essential details
The WTA Merida match between Jasmine Paolini and Katie Boulter is scheduled to start on Friday at 10:10 PM ET.
- Who: Jasmine Paolini vs. Katie Boulter
- Date: Friday, February 27, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:10 PM ET/7:10PM PT
- Tournament: WTA Merida, Mexico Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Quarterfinals
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Jasmine Paolini, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Katie Boulter at the WTA Merida tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Paolini vs. Boulter insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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