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Jacob Fearnley vs. Fabio Fognini Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Italian Open 2025

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Jacob Fearnley vs Fabio Fognini matchup.

Jacob Fearnley vs Fabio Fognini Tennis Prediction.
Our Jacob Fearnley and Fabio Fognini tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Jacob Fearnley will square off with Fabio Fognini in the round of 128 at the ATP Rome event on Thursday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Jacob Fearnley as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the latest data, we simulated Thursday's Fearnley-Fognini match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast Jacob Fearnley with a win probability of 57% and Fabio Fognini with 43%."

For a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Fearnley vs. Fognini predictions page.

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Fearnley vs. Fognini Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Second Round?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Fearnley-Fognini men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Fearnley a 57% chance of winning against Fognini at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

Additionally, Fearnley has a 56% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

Pre-Match Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:07PM, May 8
Moneyline
1st Set
JacobFearnley
Win %
56%
44%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
FabioFognini
JacobFearnley
Win %
56%
44%
See Matchup
FabioFognini
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Jacob Fearnley vs. Fabio Fognini Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Fearnley Fognini
Moneyline -278 +220
First Set -227 +175

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Fearnley vs. Fognini Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Fearnley vs. Fognini match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Fearnley vs. Fognini Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Italian Open match between Jacob Fearnley and Fabio Fognini is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 1:00PM ET.

  • Who: Jacob Fearnley vs. Fabio Fognini
  • Date: Thursday, May 8, 2025
  • Approx. Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2025
  • Round: Round of 128

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Fearnley vs. Fognini match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Jacob Fearnley vs. Fabio Fognini picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict Jacob Fearnley, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Fabio Fognini at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Fearnley vs. Fognini insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Tennis

Stay up-to-date with the latest tennis news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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