Grigor Dimitrov vs. Matteo Berrettini prediction, odds, picks for Wimbledon 2026
Get Dimitrov vs Berrettini predictions for Wimbledon 2026.

Grigor Dimitrov will take on Matteo Berrettini in the third round of Wimbledon Men's Singles 2026 on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Matteo Berrettini as the most likely winner of the Dimitrov vs. Berrettini match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Dimitrov vs. Berrettini prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Our independent predictive model gives Berrettini a 53% chance of defeating Dimitrov at Wimbledon 2026.
Grigor Dimitrov vs. Matteo Berrettini odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dimitrov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +116 | -135 |
| Game Spread | +1.5 (-112) | -1.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o41.5 (-105) | u41.5 (-135) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dimitrov vs. Berrettini picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dimitrov | +116 |
| First Set | Berrettini | -135 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Grigor Dimitrov to win.
Although Dimitrov is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dimitrov vs. Berrettini updates and essential details
The Wimbledon 2026 match between Grigor Dimitrov and Matteo Berrettini is scheduled to start on Saturday at 6:00 AM ET.
- Who: Grigor Dimitrov vs. Matteo Berrettini
- Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
- Approx. Time: 6:00 AM ET/3:00AM PT
- Tournament: Wimbledon Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Third round
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Matteo Berrettini, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat Grigor Dimitrov at Wimbledon 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



