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Jack Draper vs. Matteo Arnaldi Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Madrid Open 2025
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi matchup.

Jack Draper will square off with Matteo Arnaldi in the quarterfinals at the ATP Madrid event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Jack Draper as the most likely winner of the match.
"Using the latest data, we simulated Thursday's Draper-Arnaldi match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast Jack Draper with a win probability of 64% and Matteo Arnaldi with 36%."
For expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Draper vs. Arnaldi predictions page.
Draper vs. Arnaldi Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Semifinals?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Draper-Arnaldi men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Draper a 64% chance of beating Arnaldi at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Draper has a 61% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.
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Jack Draper vs. Matteo Arnaldi Odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
Bet Type | Draper | Arnaldi |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -357 | +275 |
First Set | -250 | +200 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Draper vs. Arnaldi Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Draper vs. Arnaldi match is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Draper vs. Arnaldi Updates and Essential Details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Jack Draper and Matteo Arnaldi is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 11:15AM ET.
- Who: Jack Draper vs. Matteo Arnaldi
- Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025
- Approx. Time: 11:15AM ET/8:15AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Quarterfinals
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Draper vs. Arnaldi match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Jack Draper vs. Matteo Arnaldi picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights
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Conclusion
We predict Jack Draper, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Matteo Arnaldi at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Draper vs. Arnaldi insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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