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Read Article Adrian Mannarino vs. Alex de Minaur prediction, odds, picks for ATP Libema Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Mannarino vs de Minaur predictions for ATP Libema Open.
Adrian Mannarino will square off with Alex de Minaur in the semifinals at the ATP S-Hertogenbosch event on Saturday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Alex de Minaur as the most likely winner of the Mannarino vs. de Minaur match.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Mannarino vs. de Minaur prediction: Who will win and advance to the final?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Mannarino-de Minaur men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives de Minaur a 78% chance of winning against Mannarino at the ATP Libema Open tournament.
Additionally, de Minaur has a 72% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Mannarino (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Adrian Mannarino vs. Alex de Minaur odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mannarino | de Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +350 | -433 |
| First Set | +240 | -303 |
| Game Spread | +4.5 (-122) | -4.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-110) | u21.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mannarino vs. de Minaur picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mannarino | +350 |
| First Set | de Minaur | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Adrian Mannarino to win.
Although Mannarino is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mannarino vs. de Minaur updates and essential details
The ATP Libema Open match between Adrian Mannarino and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 9:00 AM ET.
- Who: Adrian Mannarino vs. Alex de Minaur
- Date: Saturday, June 13, 2026
- Approx. Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP S-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Semifinals
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Alex de Minaur, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Adrian Mannarino at the ATP Libema Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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