...
...
Read Article
Iowa vs. Iowa State prediction: Why Iowa State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Iowa vs Iowa State predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Thursday at 8:00PM ET as Iowa squares off with Iowa State in men's college basketball action at James H. Hilton Coliseum.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Iowa State as the most likely winner of the Iowa vs. Iowa State game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Iowa vs. Iowa State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between Iowa and Iowa State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Iowa State an 88% chance of beating Iowa. Our predicted final score has Iowa State winning 77-64.
According to our model, Iowa State (-11.5) has a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 141.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Iowa vs. Iowa State odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Iowa | Iowa State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11.5 (-112) | -11.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +575 | -750 |
| Total | o141.5 (-105) | u141.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Iowa vs. Iowa State picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Iowa State -11.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Iowa State | -750 |
| Total | Over 141.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Iowa State -11.5 at the spread.
Iowa vs. Iowa State game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball action between Iowa State and Iowa at James H. Hilton Coliseum is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Iowa vs. Iowa State
- Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: James H. Hilton Coliseum
Conclusion
We predict Iowa State, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat Iowa on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Iowa vs. Iowa State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure